Keywords
breast neoplasms - women's health service - disease registries - health services accessibility
            - oncology
Palavras-Chave
neoplasias da mama - serviços de saúde da mulher - registros de doenças - acesso aos
            serviços de saúde - oncologia
Introduction
            Breast cancer is the most prevalent malignant neoplasm among women worldwide, and
               according to 2012 estimates, it accounted for 36.3% of all cases of cancer, and for
               14.7% of all deaths from cancer in women.[1]
               [2] For 2016, 57,960 new cases of this type of cancer were expected in Brazil, representing
               28.1% of all cases of cancer in Brazilian women. The national incidence is estimated
               at 56.20 cases per 100,000 women, but it rises to 74.30 cases per 100,000 women when
               the Southern region of Brazil is considered separately.
            Breast cancer is the most frequent type of cancer among women in the Southeastern,
               Midwestern, Southern and Northeastern regions, and the second most frequent type in
               the Northern region of Brazil.[3] In 2012, the total mortality from breast cancer was estimated at 13,591 deaths nationwide,
               representing 15.79% of all deaths from cancer that year.[4] Breast cancer mortality rates tend to be higher in developing countries, in part
               due to late diagnosis and barriers to the initiation of the treatment once the diagnosis
               is confirmed. The lack of an organized screening program in most of these regions
               contributes to this gap in mortality rates when compared with more affluent countries.[5]
               
            Even in high-income regions, the mortality rates are higher for ethnic minorities
               and poorer women. This phenomenon is mediated by stage at diagnosis, and has been
               reported in several locations, including the United Kingdom and the United States
               of America.[6]
               [7] A study of mortality trends in Brazil from 1980 to 2010[8] shows a rise in total mortality from breast and cervical cancers as a result of
               rising rates in the smaller municipalities and in the states of the Northern and Northeastern
               regions.
            In 1998, given the growing importance of cancer as a public health problem, the Brazilian
               Ministry of Health (MOH) issued order no. 3.535, which specified minimum criteria
               in order for health facilities to register to provide cancer care in Brazil's unified
               health system (SUS, in the Portuguese acronym).[8] Since then, a series of measures have been taken to assure comprehensive care for
               cancer patients in Brazil.
            In this context, the ministerial order no. 2.439 is notable; it launched Brazil's
               national cancer care policy (PNAO, in the Portuguese acronym), emphasizing the importance
               of prevention, early diagnosis, rehabilitation, palliative care and timely multidisciplinary
               care for people with cancer.[9]
               
            Hospital cancer registries (HCRs) are one source of information on cancer care that
               is provided by Brazil's health facilities.[10]
               [11] Designed to gather information from the cases reported by health institutions, HCRs
               came into operation in the 1960's, and have been increasing in number even since,
               particularly following the institution of the PNAO, in 2005.[12]
               [13]
               
            Based on the information drawn from the HCRs, the objectives of the present study
               are to estimate the time interval between diagnosis and treatment, to evaluate the
               time trend of stage at diagnosis, as well as to analyze the determinants of stage
               at diagnosis of breast cancer in Brazil from 2000 to 2012.
         Methods
            Study Design
            
            We performed a time trend analysis and a retrospective cohort study based on secondary
               data from HCRs in Brazil from 2000 to 2012.
            
            Data Sources
            
            The HCR database contains information on cancer cases treated at the majority of Brazil's
               health facilities, including 91% of the facilities that are part of the SUS cancer
               care network.
            
            The information for health facilities nationwide, except for the state of São Paulo
               (in the Southeastern region), was obtained via the HCR integrator, which is available
               on the website (https://irhc.inca.gov.br/RHCNet) of Brazil's National Cancer Institute (INCA, in the Portuguese acronym).
            
            Data for the facilities in São Paulo State were obtained via the website (http://www.fosp.saude.sp.gov.br/publicacoes/acessobancodados) of the São Paulo Oncocentro Foundation (FOSP, in the Portuguese acronym). These
               websites were accessed for current data on January 21st, 2016.
            
            Study Population
            
            The study population comprised women with a diagnosis of breast cancer (code C50 in
               the 10th edition of the International Classification of Diseases), aged 18 years or
               older at the date of the diagnosis, for whom information on the stage at diagnosis
               was available.
            
            Only cases of invasive tumors confirmed by microscopic examination were considered
               eligible for the study. All cases of histopathological diagnoses of “in situ” neoplasms
               and benign or non-invasive tumors were excluded. All cases of sarcomas, lymphomas
               and neuroendocrine tumors, as well as cases of skin neoplasms of the breast region,
               were also excluded, because they are entities whose occurrence, diagnosis, risk factors
               and treatment are different from those of the pathology addressed in this study.
            
            As a way of minimizing the inclusion of duplicate records, the study considered only
               cases classified as analytical on the HCRs. That selection was necessary because some
               cases might have been recorded by different institutions (once as analytical and again
               as non-analytical), and would thus be counted more than once.
            
            Study Variables
            
            Intervals were calculated in days from the date of the diagnosis (date of the histopathology
               report) to the starting date of the first specific treatment for the disease, as well
               as from date of the first appointment at the recording institution to the beginning
               of the treatment. The percentage of cases for which the time from the diagnosis exceeded
               60 days was calculated. Cases in which the patient's place of birth differed from
               the state where the hospital care facility was located were also recorded. That procedure
               was designed to achieve an approximation to the hypothetical barrier-to-access situation,
               in which patients have to travel to a location different from their place of residence
               to seek care.
            
            The study variables also included the following: level of schooling, region of the
               recording institution, region of birth, occurrence of previous diagnosis and treatment,
               histological type, stage, treatment accomplishment, age, clinical status at the end
               of the treatment, exposure to tobacco and alcohol, marital status, and race/skin color.[12]
               
            
            The patients were classified by disease stage at diagnosis, and they were subsequently
               separated into three groups according to the international tumor, node and metastasis
               (TNM) stage classification.[14] In the category called initial disease, we included patients at stages I to IIa;
               in the category called localized disease, those patients at stages IIb to IIIc were
               included; and in the advanced disease category, we included those at stage IV. That
               classification was designed to gather together groups of patients with similar prognosis
               and to facilitate the interpretation of the results.[15]
               
            
            Data Analysis
            
            Measurements of central tendency and dispersion were calculated for time in days from
               the diagnosis to the beginning of the treatment, and for the interval between the
               first appointment and the beginning of the treatment. Time trends for breast cancer
               stage over the observation period were studied using a joinpoint regression model,
               with stage as the outcome (expressed as a percentage of cases at stages III and IV)
               and year of diagnosis as the independent variable. In order to fit the model, joinpoints
               from 0–3 (tendencies indicated by straight line segments) were admitted, and, for
               each type of cancer, annual percentage changes (APCs) were estimated, with 95% confidence
               intervals (95%CIs).[16]
               
            
            The factors associated with breast cancer stage at diagnosis were examined using a
               multinomial logistic regression model for stage, which was divided into three categories.
               The ‘localized disease’ and ‘advanced disease’ categories were compared with the ‘initial
               disease’ category. After a univariate analysis was performed, the variables selected
               for the multiple model were those displaying an association with the outcome, with
               p ≤ 0.20,[17] and with fewer than 35% of records with missing information. The odds ratios (ORs)
               and their respective 95%CIs were then calculated.
            
            The influence of smoking, alcohol use, marital status, race/skin color and family
               history of cancer (variables unavailable for institutions in the state of São Paulo),
               was examined in a second analysis conducted using a similar methodology, but excluding
               cases originated from health facilities in São Paulo. In the univariate analysis,
               the variables that displayed correlation with the disease stage (p ≤ 0.20) and had less than 35% of missing data were studied in a multivariate model.
            
            The analyses were performed using the R software (R Foundation for Statistical Computing,
               Vienna, Austria), version 3.0.3, while the regression model coefficients were extracted
               with the assistance of the texreg package.[18] The Joinpoint software (National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, US), version 4.2.02,
               was also used for the time trend analyses. All spreadsheets were edited using the
               Apache OpenOffice software (Apache Software Foundation, Forest Hill, ND, US), version
               4.1.1. The study was approved by the Research Ethics Committee of Instituto de Medicina
               Social, Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, under resolution 196/96, no. CAAE:
               50685115.9.0000.5260.
            Results
            A total of 170,757 cases of malignant breast cancer that met the study's criteria
               were included. The time from the date of the diagnosis to the beginning of the treatment
               ranged from 0–182 days, with a median of 43 days for the studied population. The interval
               between the first appointment at the facility and the beginning of the treatment ranged
               from 7–180 days (median of 32 days). In 36.2% of the cases, the time from the diagnosis
               to the beginning of the cancer treatment exceeded 60 days.
            The percentage of cases with stages III and IV decreased over the period between 2000
               and 2002 (from 43.1% to 37.7%). From 2002 to 2009, we observed an increase, with a
               peak of 40.2% in 2010, with apparent stability until the end of the study period,
               in 2012. This change was confirmed in the joinpoint regression analysis ([Fig. 1]). Two statistically significant points of inflection were found in the changing
               percentages of advanced cases of breast cancer. The first trend, from 2000 to 2002,
               showed an APC of -6.6% (95%CI: -7.6–5.5%) in the percentages of cases at stages III
               and IV.
             Fig. 1 Time trend of the percentage of cases of women registered by the hospital cancer
                  registries (HCRs) with diagnosis at stages III and IV. Abbreviations: APC, Annual
                  Percent Change.
                  Fig. 1 Time trend of the percentage of cases of women registered by the hospital cancer
                  registries (HCRs) with diagnosis at stages III and IV. Abbreviations: APC, Annual
                  Percent Change.
            
            
            In the second trend, from 2002 to 2009, the percentage grew, with an APC of 1.1% (95%CI:
               0.9–1.3%). Lastly, the third trend, which extended from 2009 to 2012, showed a new
               inflexion in the curve: a downturn, showing an APC of 0.3% (95%CI: -0.9–0.2%). This
               trend, however, lacked statistical significance.
            The median age at diagnosis was 55 years (ranging from 18–113 years), with 19% of
               the patients aged 70 years or older. More than half of the patients (52.7%) were born
               in Brazil's Southeastern region, and 27.6% of them were from the state of São Paulo.
               São Paulo also accounted for the highest percentage of registered cases, with 42.5%
               of observations originating from facilities in that state.
            Of the patients included, 28.5% had incomplete primary education, and 6.9% had higher
               education, while for 30.9% of the cases, this information was not available. In 19.6%
               of the cases, the patients had been born in a state that was different from the state
               where the health facility that recorded the case was located, and in 7.6% of the cases,
               data on the birthplace was missing, as shown in [Table 1].
            
               
                  Table 1 
                     Sociodemographic characteristics of the women with invasive breast cancer diagnosis,
                        registered by the hospital cancer registries and meeting inclusion criteria, Brazil
                        2000–2012
                     
                  
                     
                     
                        
                        | Level of schooling | n (%) | 
                     
                  
                     
                     
                        
                        |  No formal education | 12,037 (6.8) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Primary education (incomplete) | 50,476 (28.5) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Primary education (complete) | 23,433 (13.2) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Secondary education | 24,144 (13.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  College (higher education) | 12,296 (6.9) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Missing information | 54,849 (30.9) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Region of the institution
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Midwest | 2,802 (1.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Northeast | 29,547 (17.3) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  North | 4,433 (2.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Southeast | 106,711 (62.5) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  South | 27,264 (15.9) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Region of birth
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Midwest | 2,401 (1.5) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Northeast | 41,358 (26.0) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  North | 4,250 (2.7) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Southeast | 83,861 (52.7) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  South | 25,838 (16.2) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Another country | 1,361 (0.9) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Region of birth differs from region of institution
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  No | 124,237 (72.8) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Yes | 33,471 (19.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Missing information | 13,049 (7.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Smoking
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Former | 2,486 (2.5) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Never | 47,196 (48.1) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Current | 16,927 (17.2) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Missing information | 31,595 (32.2) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Alcoholism
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Former | 723 (0.7) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Never | 51,768 (52.7) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Current | 8,802 (8.9) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Missing information | 36,911 (37.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Marital status
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Single | 20,155 (20.5) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Married | 46,716 (47.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Civil union | 341 (0.3) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Divorced | 6,396 (6.5) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Widow | 14,516 (14.8) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Missing information | 10,080 (10.3) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Race/skin color
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Asian | 665 (0.7) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  White | 49,825 (50.7) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Indigenous | 86 (0.1) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Brown | 32,801 (33.4) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Black | 6,477 (6.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Missing information | 8,350 (8.5) | 
                     
               
             
            
            The number of breast cancer cases recorded per year increased during the study period,
               peaking in 2010, with 17,080 cases, which is equivalent to 10.5% of the total cases.
               The initial treatment proposed was completed by 86.3% of the patients, and 18.2% showed
               no evidence of cancer at the end of the treatment. Of the records analyzed, 54.9%
               lacked information for the variable “disease state at end of treatment.” Of the patients
               included, 48.1% declared never being tobacco users, and 52.7% denied any history of
               alcohol use. Married women accounted for 47.6% of the cases studied. As for data on
               race/skin color taken from the patients' hospital records, the distribution was as
               follows: 50.7% of the patients were white, 33.4% were brown, and 6.6% were black.
               The characteristics of the patients studied are shown in [Tables 1] and [2].
            
               
                  Table 2 
                     Clinical- and treatment-related characteristics of the women with breast cancer diagnosis
                        included in the study
                     
                  
                     
                     
                        
                        | Treatment accomplishment | n (%) | 
                     
                  
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Complete treatment | 147,375 (86.3) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Incomplete treatment | 5,211 (3.0) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Missing information | 18,171 (10.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Status at the end of treatment
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Without evidence of disease | 31,107 (18.2) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Partial remission | 5,481 (3.2) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Stable disease | 25,653 (15.0) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Disease in progression | 6,793 (3.9) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  End-of-life care | 989 (0.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Death | 4,535 (2.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Not applicable | 2,500 (1.5) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Missing information | 93,699 (54.9) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Diagnosis and treatment at admission
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Diagnosis stabilized, treatment initiated | 30,911 (18.1) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Diagnosis stabilized, no treatment | 58,219 (34.0) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Without diagnosis and treatment | 78,791 (46.1) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Missing information | 431 (0.2) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Histological type
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Adenocarcinoma | 3,049 (1.8) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Ductal differentiation | 143,261 (84.0) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Lobular differentiation | 15,013 (8.8) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Epithelial without any other specifications | 4,860 (2.8) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Squamous | 1,130 (0.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Medullary | 1,106 (0.6) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Mucinous | 2,078 (1.2) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Mucoepidermoid | 14 (0.01) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Invasive neoplasm without any other specifications | 246 (0.1) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Stage
                               | 
                              n (%)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  I | 32,942 (19.3) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  II | 70,268 (41.1) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  III | 51,636 (30.2) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  IV | 15,911 (9.3) | 
                     
               
             
            
            In the univariate analysis, the explanatory variables that were significantly related
               with breast cancer stage at diagnosis were age, level of schooling, the state in which
               the hospital facility was located, place of birth outside the state where the treating
               facility was located, histology and year of diagnosis (if established up to 2005 or
               after 2006).
            
               [Table 3] shows the results of the multivariate analysis. Age at diagnosis continued to display
               a significant relationship with the stage after adjustments were made. The odds of
               having a localized or advanced disease diminished with increasing age. In comparison
               with the cases in the ≤ 30 years of age group, the greatest relative difference for
               both categories (localized or advanced disease) occurred in the 65–69 years of age
               group, for whom the ORs were 0.38 (95%CI: 0.33–0.43) for localized disease, and 0.32
               (95%CI: 0.26–0.39) for advanced disease. That trend continued for the other age groups,
               with ORs decreasing as age increased, in relation to the reference category.
            
               
                  Table 3 
                     Results of the multivariate analysis: OR and 95%CI calculated for the localized and
                        advanced disease categories in relation to the initial disease category
                     
                  
                     
                     
                        
                        | Variables | Localized disease - OR (95%CI) | Advanced disease - OR (95%CI) | 
                     
                  
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Age (years)
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  < 30 | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  30–34 | 0.98 (0.85–1.15) | 0.78 (0.63–0.97) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  35–39 | 0.80 (0.70–0.93) | 0.64 (0.52–0.78) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  40–44 | 0.66 (0.57–0.75) | 0.44 (0.36–0.53) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  45–49 | 0.55 (0.48–0.63) | 0.39 (0.32–0.47) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  50–54 | 0.51 (0.44–0.58) | 0.38 (0.32–0.47) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  55–59 | 0.46 (0.40–0.53) | 0.36 (0.30–0.44) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  60–64 | 0.40 (0.35–0.46) | 0.34 (0.28–0.41) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  65–69 | 0.38 (0.33–0.43) | 0.32 (0.26–0.39) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  ≥ 70 | 0.41 (0.36–0.47) | 0.34 (0.28–0.42) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Level of schooling
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  No formal education (illiterate) | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Primary education (incomplete) | 0.67 (0.64–0.70) | 0.65 (0.60–0.70) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Primary education (complete) | 0.56 (0.54––0.60) | 0.51 (0.46–0.55) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Secondary education | 0.45 (0.43––0.48) | 0.41 (0.38–0.45) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  College (higher education) | 0.34 (0.32––0.36) | 0.32 (0.29–0.35) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Region of the institution
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  South | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Midwest | 1.69 (1.50–1.90) | 1.88 (1.58–2.23) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Northeast | 1.64 (1.57–1.72) | 1.06 (0.98–1.15) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  North | 1.81 (1.68–1.96) | 1.31 (1.15–1.49) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Southeast | 1.10 (1.06–1.14) | 1.11 (1.04–1.18) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              State of birth
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Same as the institution | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Different from the institution | 1.12 (1.09–1.16) | 1.15 (1.09–1.21) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Histology
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Ductal differentiation | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Lobular differentiation | 0.94 (0.90–0.98) | 1.01 (0.93–1.08) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Other | 0.71 (0.68–0.75) | 1.16 (1.08–1.25) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Year of diagnosis
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  2000–2005 | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  2006–2012 | 0.98 (0.96–1.01) | 0.88 (0.85–0.92) | 
                     
               
               
               
               Abbreviations: 95%CI, 95% confidence interval; OR, odds ratio. 
               
                
            
            
            Women with more advanced levels of schooling presented lower estimated odds for both
               categories. Cases with schooling classified as higher education presented an OR of
               0.34 (95%CI: 0.32–0.36) for localized disease, and an OR of 0.32 (95%CI: 0.29–0.35)
               for advanced disease, when compared with those with no schooling. That effect remained
               uniform after the adjustment for the other variables of the model, and the OR was
               observed to decrease as the level of schooling increased.
            There was a relationship between the region where the recording health facility was
               located and the stage at diagnosis. Using the Southern region as reference, the OR
               for localized disease was of 1.10 (95%CI: 1.06–1.14) in the Southeastern region, of
               1.64 (95%CI: 1.57–1.72) in the Northeastern region, of 1.69 (95%CI: 1.50–1.90) in
               the Midwestern region, and of 1.81 (95%CI: 1.68–1.96) in the Northern region of Brazil.
               That trend remained the same for the advanced disease. In addition, being born in
               a region different from that of the treatment institution was associated with 12%
               higher odds of being in the localized category than in the initial category (OR: 1.12;
               95%CI: 1.09–1.16), and with 15% greater odds of belonging to the advanced category
               (OR: 1.15; 95%CI: 1.09–1.21).
            In comparison with ductal tumors, lobular tumors presented in early stages, with lower
               odds for localized disease (OR: 0.94; 95%CI: 0.90–0.98). No statistically significant
               difference was observed between ductal and lobular tumors in the advanced disease
               category.
            In the second analysis, excluding the facilities located in the state of São Paulo,
               we examined the effects of race/skin color and marital status on staging. These were
               the only variables, among those unavailable for facilities in the state of São Paulo,
               that met the criteria for inclusion in the multivariate analysis.
            After adjustment for age, schooling, region of the health facility, histological type
               and year of diagnosis, we observed that cases classified as brown had an OR of 1.16
               (95%CI: 1.11–1.21) for localized disease, and an OR of 1.30 (95% CI 1.21–1.41) for
               advanced disease. Those classified as black had an OR of 1.46 (95%CI: 1.36–1.57) for
               localized disease, and an OR of 1.63 (95%CI: 1.47–1.82) for advanced disease, in comparison
               with the initial disease category ([Table 4]).
            
               
                  Table 4 
                     Results of the multivariate analysis excluding the state of São Paulo: OR and 95%CI
                        calculated for the localized and advanced disease categories compared with the initial
                        disease category
                     
                  
                     
                     
                        
                        | Variables | Localized disease - OR (95%CI) | Advanced disease - OR (95%CI) | 
                     
                  
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Age
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  < 30 | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  30–34 | 0.93 (0.76–1.15) | 0.64 (0.47–0.86) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  35–39 | 0.79 (0.65–0.96) | 0.61 (0.46–0.80) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  40–44 | 0.66 (0.55–0.80) | 0.42 (0.32–0.55) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  45–49 | 0.56 (0.46–0.67) | 0.38 (0.30–0.50) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  50–54 | 0.53 (0.44–0.63) | 0.39 (0.30–0.50) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  55–59 | 0.46 (0.38–0.55) | 0.36 (0.27–0.47) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  60–64 | 0.42 (0.35–0.51) | 0.34 (0.26–0.45) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  65–69 | 0.39 (0.32–0.48) | 0.33 (0.25–0.43) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  ≥ 70 | 0.38 (0.32–0.46) | 0.31 (0.24–0.41) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Level of schooling
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  No formal education (illiterate) | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Primary education (incomplete) | 0.67 (0.63–0.71) | 0.65 (0.59–0.72) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Primary education (complete) | 0.62 (0.57–0.66) | 0.60 (0.54–0.67) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Secondary education | 0.46 (0.43–0.50) | 0.43 (0.38–0.48) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  College (higher education) | 0.38 (0.35–0.42) | 0.32 (0.28–0.37) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Region of the institution
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  South | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Midwest | 1.48 (1.31–1.68) | 1.61 (1.34–1.94) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Northeast | 1.36 (1.28–1.44) | 0.77 (0.70–0.85) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  North | 1.82 (1.64–2.01) | 1.23 (1.04–1.45) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Southeast | 1.17 (1.12–1.23) | 1.03 (0.95–1.11) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              State of birth
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Same as the institution | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Different from the institution | 1.06 (1.01–1.11) | 1.06 (0.99–1.15) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Histology
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Ductal differentiation | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Lobular differentiation | 0.96 (0.90–1.02) | 0.89 (0.80–0.99) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Other | 0.81 (0.76–0.87) | 1.19 (1.07–1.33) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Year of diagnosis
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  2000–2005 | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  2006–2012 | 0.89 (0.86–0.92) | 0.77 (0.72–0.82) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Race/skin color
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  White | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Asian | 1.16 (0.96–1.41) | 1.24 (0.88–1.75) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Indigenous | 0.94 (0.52–1.69) | 1.25 (0.50–3.15) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Brown | 1.16 (1.11–1.21) | 1.30 (1.21–1.41) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Black | 1.46 (1.36–1.57) | 1.63 (1.47–1.82) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        | 
                              Marital status
                               | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Married | 1 | 1 | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Divorced | 1.05 (0.98–1.12) | 0.97 (0.86–1.09) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Single | 1.24 (1.19–1.30) | 1.46 (1.35–1.56) | 
                     
                     
                        
                        |  Widow | 1.17 (1.11–1.23) | 1.16 (1.07–1.28) | 
                     
               
               
               
               Abbreviations: 95%CI, 95% confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.
               
                
            
            Discussion
            Breast cancer is diagnosed late in Brazil, and women with lower socioeconomic status,
               non-whites, and those treated in the Northern and Northeastern regions are prone to
               greater estimated risk of presenting at an advanced stage. In addition, once the diagnosis
               is made, the time until the beginning of the treatment is excessively long for a large
               proportion of patients. Breast cancer is a complex disease whose genesis is multifactorial
               and involves biological, environmental and social determinants. This study sought
               to identify characteristics associated with disease stage, given its relationship
               to prognosis and the fact that it is considered an effect mediator of several factors
               bearing on cancer mortality.
            In 2014, MOH order no. 1220 set a maximum delay of 60 days from the diagnosis for
               the cancer treatment to begin. Although in our study the median times from diagnosis
               to the beginning of the treatment were below that limit, that time was exceeded in
               a significant proportion of cases. These findings evidence the need for measures that
               help overcome barriers and ensure a prompt treatment for diagnosed cases, leading
               to a potential reduction in morbidity and mortality.[19]
               
            A tendency was also observed for the percentage of diagnoses at stages III and IV
               to increase over the study period. The percentage of breast cancer cases at advanced
               stages increased significantly from 2002 to 2009; after that period, this rate stabilized.
               That finding conflicts with the results reported in another study,[20] which also used data from the HCRs, and that showed a tendency for the percentage
               of advanced cases to decline between 2000 and 2009.
            This difference can be explained by the different methodology those authors used,
               particularly their classification of cases as localized and advanced. In their study,
               however, the smaller number of cases included and the retention of cases of non-invasive
               tumors tended to increase the percentage of cases at an early stage.
            We can hypothesize that the reversal in the upward trend in the percentage of diagnoses
               at stages III and IV, which was observed for the last 2 years of the observation period,
               may be related to effects of the MOH order no. 2439. This idea is reinforced by the
               fact that women diagnosed after 2005 had lower odds of having an advanced disease.
               However, due to the relatively short period of time since the edition of the ministerial
               order, and keeping in mind the natural history of breast cancer, additional studies
               are needed to confirm this hypothesis.
            The odds of developing breast cancer in more advanced stages decreased with age in
               our study, a finding that is in agreement with the findings reported by other authors.
               A recent study focusing on locally advanced cases in a population-based cancer registry
               in the United States found higher occurrence in young women.[15] The prognosis for pre-menopausal breast cancer is characteristically worse than
               that for post-menopausal patients. That is probably because of the higher prevalence
               of more aggressive tumor subtypes in younger women.[21] Accordingly, the age effect found reflects, in part, the influence of the biological
               characteristics of breast tumors on stage.
            The level of schooling showed a significant relationship with the advanced stage.
               In the multivariate analysis that relationship held for both the localized and advance
               disease categories, and it did so when the variables race/skin color and marital status
               were included in the model. Recent studies have reported (in agreement with our findings)
               that the level of schooling is associated with access to breast cancer screening,
               the stage of the disease, and mortality.[22]
               [23]
               
            A cross-sectional study[20] examining a sample of 59,317 cases of breast cancer recorded on HCRs from 2000 to
               2009 found a significant relationship between low level of schooling (cases with 7
               years or less of formal schooling) and advanced stage (defined in that study as stage
               IIIb or higher at diagnosis). In addition to level of schooling, the authors also
               found that age, region of residence and histological type had an association with
               the odds of having an advanced disease at diagnosis.
            Women treated at health facilities in the Northern, Northeastern and Midwestern regions
               had a greater likelihood of having advanced-stage cancer at diagnosis than those in
               the Southern and Southeastern regions. For women treated at facilities in the Northeast,
               we found a significant increase in risk for localized disease, but not for advanced
               disease, when compared with those treated in the Southeastern region. That situation
               is compatible with the findings of other studies, which have pointed to inequality
               in the rates of mortality from these diseases among the various regions of Brazil.[24]
               
            Tumors exhibiting lobular differentiation were related to reduced risk of having localized
               cancer at diagnosis, but no significant difference was detected in relation with the
               risk of advanced cancer in comparison with tumors with ductal differentiation. Meanwhile,
               tumors of other histological types were observed to have an association with reduced
               risk for localized disease and increased risk for advanced disease, probably reflecting
               the heterogeneous population included in this category, which comprises rare histological
               types, but also tumors whose histological type is poorly defined (such as “malignant
               neoplasm with no other specification”), which occurred frequently in the records.
            The stage at diagnosis was influenced by race/skin color and marital status. Black
               and brown women, as well as single and legally separated women, were more likely to
               be in the localized and advanced categories than white and married women. That fact,
               which is in agreement with the evidence found in the literature, highlights the importance
               of social barriers and family support to promote proper women's health care.[25]
               [26]
               [27]
               
            This study has limitations. As the data were obtained from a secondary source, the
               analyses were restricted to the information provided in the HCRs. As a result, important
               considerations relating to the natural history of the disease could not be directly
               analyzed. In addition, for some data items, low completion rates precluded their inclusion
               in the analyses. Of particular note in this context was the absence of data on expression
               of hormone receptors and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER-2), whose relationship
               to prognosis cannot be disregarded.
            Another important issue was the total coverage of cancer cases in Brazil achieved
               by the HCRs. When compared with the estimated annual incidence of the disease, the
               number of observations available is relatively small, even given the increasing coverage
               and inclusion of data by health facilities in recent years.
            A study published in 2015,[20] for example, included significantly fewer cases (50,317) than the present study
               (170,757), despite using the same database and working with similar study periods.
               This suggests that the system is constantly updated, and indicates a tendency for
               coverage to increase progressively. It is also worthy of note that the HCRs cover
               primarily patients treated by the SUS, excluding nearly all patients covered by the
               supplementary health system.
         Conclusion
            Cancer care in Brazil can be evaluated from data drawn from the HCRs, which are designed
               to yield information on the treatment offered at health facilities, to enable quality
               control of the service being provided, and to be included in epidemiological surveillance
               platforms, in addition to serving as a source for public health research. Coverage
               by the HCR system has been increasing in recent years, and the system constitutes
               an increasingly useful source to assist monitoring on cancer prevention and control
               issues in Brazil. Access to breast cancer diagnosis in Brazil is unequal. The finding
               that socioeconomics factors may influence the stage at diagnosis highlights the need
               to promote broader access to cancer diagnosis in Brazil. The gaps between clinical
               suspicion, establishment of the diagnosis and beginning of the treatment are key issues
               to be dealt with by health managers and policy promoters. We believe that special
               attention should be paid to women with lower socioeconomic status.