Aktuelle Rheumatologie 2013; 38(1): 30-36
DOI: 10.1055/s-0030-1263154
Übersichtsarbeit

© Georg Thieme Verlag KG Stuttgart · New York

Prediction of Disease Outcome in Early Arthritis

Prognose des Krankheitsverlaufs bei FrüharthritisA. van der Helm-van Mil1 , T. Huizinga1
  • 1LUMC, Rheumatology, Leiden, Netherlands
Further Information

Publication History

Publication Date:
15 March 2012 (online)

Abstract

The terms early arthritis, undifferentiated arthritis (UA) and early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are not completely synonymous. They refer to slightly different sets of patients with intrinsic differences in the disease outcome. UA refers to arthritis that cannot be classified according to current criteria. The disease course of UA is variable, 40–50% remit spontaneously, whereas about one third of the UA-patients are in an early phase of RA. These UA-patients provide an opportunity, as the disease process in UA is less established and treatment in this early phase may halt the progression towards RA. To identify the UA-patients who will develop RA a prediction rule has recently been developed. This rule estimates the chance to develop RA in individual UA-patients and its predictive ability is established in several countries throughout the world. Another initiative to identify RA patients early is the development of new classification criteria for RA. The sensitivity and specificity for early RA of these criteria are not known yet. Clinical trials evaluating the effects of DMARD-therapy in UA are still scarce but are needed in order to derive a personalized medicine for UA-patients.

Zusammenfassung

Die Begriffe Früharthritis, undifferenzierte Arthritis (UA) und frühe rheumatoide Arthritis (RA) sind nicht vollständig synonym zu gebrauchen. Vielmehr beschreiben sie verschiedene Patientensubgruppen mit spezifischen Unterschieden des Krankheitsverlaufes. UA bezeichnet eine Arthritis, die gemäß aktueller Kriterien nicht klassifiziert werden kann. Der Krankheitsverlauf ist variabel, 40–50% remittieren spontan, während ein Drittel der UA Patienten sich bereits in einem Frühstadium einer RA befindet. Bei diesen UA Patienten besteht die Chance, durch entsprechende Behandlung in dieser frühen Phase die Progression in Richtung RA aufzuhalten, da der Krankheitsprozess zu diesem Zeitpunkt noch weniger etabliert ist. Um Patienten zu identifizieren, die eine RA entwickeln werden, wurde kürzlich ein Vorhersage Score entwickelt. Dieser Score ermöglicht eine Risikoabschätzung für den individuellen UA Patienten für die Entwicklung einer RA. Der prädiktive Wert dieses Scores ist in zahlreichen Ländern weltweit etabliert. Eine weitere Möglichkeit zur frühen Identifikation von RA Patienten ist die Entwicklung neuer Klassifikationskriterien für die RA. Die Sensitivität und die Spezifität für diese Kriterien sind bisher nicht erforscht. Es liegen nur wenige klinische Studien zur Bewertung der Wirksamkeit der DMARD-Therapie bei UA vor. Solche Untersuchungen werden aber dringend benötigt, um UA Patienten eine spezifische Medikation bieten zu können.

References

  • 1 Pincus T, Callahan LF. What is the natural history of rheumatoid arthritis?.  Rheum Dis Clin North Am.. 1993;  19 (1) 123-151
  • 2 Speyer I, Hazes JM, Breedveld FC. Recruitment of patients with early rheumatoid arthritis – the Netherlands experience.  J Rheumatol Suppl. 1996;  44 84-85
  • 3 Harrison BJ, Symmons DP, Barrett EM. et al The performance of the 1987 ARA classification criteria for rheumatoid arthritis in a population based cohort of patients with early inflammatory polyarthritis. American Rheumatism Association.  J Rheumatol. 1998;  25 (12) 2324-2330
  • 4 Harrison B, Symmons D. Early inflammatory polyarthritis: results from the Norfolk Arthritis Register with a review of the literature. II. Outcome at three years.  Rheumatology (Oxford). 2000;  39 (9) 939-949
  • 5 Symmons DP, Hazes JM, Silman AJ. Cases of early inflammatory polyarthritis should not be classified as having rheumatoid arthritis.  J Rheumatol. 2003;  30 (5) 902-904
  • 6 Green M, Marzo-Ortega H, McGonagle D. et al Persistence of mild, early inflammatory arthritis: the importance of disease duration, rheumatoid factor, and the shared epitope.  Arthritis Rheum. 1999;  42 (10) 2184-2188
  • 7 Machold KP, Stamm TA, Eberl GJ. et al Very recent onset arthritis – clinical, laboratory, and radiological findings during the first year of disease.  J Rheumatol. 2002;  29 (11) 2278-2287
  • 8 van der Heijde DM, van Leeuwen MA, van Riel PL. et al Radiographic progression on radiographs of hands and feet during the first 3 years of rheumatoid arthritis measured according to Sharp's method (van der Heijde modification).  J Rheumatol. 1995;  22 (9) 1792-1796
  • 9 Nell VP, Machold KP, Stamm TA. et al Autoantibody profiling as early diagnostic and prognostic tool for rheumatoid arthritis.  Ann Rheum Dis. 2005;  64 (12) 1731-1736
  • 10 Symmons DP, Silman AJ. The Norfolk Arthritis Register (NOAR).  Clin Exp Rheumatol. 2003 Sep;  21 (5 Suppl 31) S94-S99
  • 11 Quinn MA, Green MJ, Marzo-Ortega H. et al Prognostic factors in a large cohort of patients with early undifferentiated inflammatory arthritis after application of a structured management protocol.  Arthritis Rheum. 2003;  48 (11) 3039-3045
  • 12 Wolfe F, Ross K, Hawley DJ. et al The prognosis of rheumatoid arthritis and undifferentiated polyarthritis syndrome in the clinic: a study of 1141 patients.  J Rheumatol. 1993;  20 (12) 2005-2009
  • 13 Sokka T. Early rheumatoid arthritis in Finland.  Clin Exp Rheumatol. 2003;  21 (5 Suppl 31) S133-S137
  • 14 Kvien TK, Uhlig T. The Oslo experience with arthritis registries.  Clin Exp Rheumatol. 2003;  21 (5 Suppl 31) S118-S122
  • 15 van Aken J, van Bilsen JH, Allaart CF. et al The Leiden Early Arthritis Clinic.  Clin Exp Rheumatol. 2003;  21 (5 Suppl 31) S100-S105
  • 16 Hulsemann JL, Zeidler H. Undifferentiated arthritis in an early synovitis out-patient clinic.  Clin Exp Rheumatol. 1995;  13 (1) 37-43
  • 17 van Aken J, van Dongen H, le CS. et al Comparison of long term outcome of patients with rheumatoid arthritis presenting with undifferentiated arthritis or with rheumatoid arthritis: an observational cohort study.  Ann Rheum Dis. 2006;  65 (1) 20-25
  • 18 Tunn EJ, Bacon PA. Differentiating persistent from self-limiting symmetrical synovitis in an early arthritis clinic.  Br J Rheumatol. 1993;  32 (2) 97-103
  • 19 Harrison BJ, Symmons DP, Brennan P. et al Natural remission in inflammatory polyarthritis: issues of definition and prediction.  Br J Rheumatol. 1996;  35 (11) 1096-1100
  • 20 van der Woude D, Young A, Jayakumar K. et al Prevalence of and predictive factors for sustained disease-modifying antirheumatic drug-free remission in rheumatoid arthritis: results from two large early arthritis cohorts.  Arthritis Rheum. 2009;  60 (8) 2262-2271
  • 21 Harrison BJ, Symmons DP, Brennan P. et al Natural remission in inflammatory polyarthritis: issues of definition and prediction.  Br J Rheumatol. 1996;  35 1096-1100
  • 22 Visser H, le CS, Vos K. et al How to diagnose rheumatoid arthritis early: a prediction model for persistent (erosive) arthritis.  Arthritis Rheum. 2002 Feb;  46 (2) 357-365
  • 23 van der Helm-van Mil AH, le CS, van Dongen H. et al A prediction rule for disease outcome in patients with recent-onset undifferentiated arthritis: how to guide individual treatment decisions.  Arthritis Rheum. 2007 Feb;  56 (2) 433-440
  • 24 van der Helm-van Mil AH, Detert J, le Cessie S. et al Validation of a prediction rule for disease outcome in patients with recent-onset undifferentiated arthritis: moving toward individualized treatment decision-making.  Arthritis Rheum. 2008;  58 (8) 2241-2247
  • 25 Kuriya B, Cheng CK, Chen HM. et al Validation of a prediction rule for development of rheumatoid arthritis in patients with early undifferentiated arthritis.  Ann Rheum Dis. 2009 Sep;  68 (9) 1482-1485
  • 26 Tamai M, Kawakami A, Uetani M. et al A prediction rule for disease outcome in patients with undifferentiated arthritis using magnetic resonance imaging of the wrists and finger joints and serologic autoantibodies.  Arthritis Rheum. 2009;  61 (6) 772-778
  • 27 Bradna P, Soukop T, Bastecj D. et al Prediction rule in early and very early arthritis patients.  Ann Rheum Dis. 2009;  68 (Suppl 3) 547
  • 28 Luchikhina El, Karateev DE, Nasonov EL. The use of prediction rule to predict the development of rheumatoid arthritis in Russian patients with early undifferentiated arthritis.  Ann Rheum Dis. 2008;  58 2241-2247
  • 29 Mjaavatten MD, Van der Helm- van Mil AH, Huizinga TW. et al Validation of a proposed prediction rule for rheumatoid arthritis in a cohort of 188 patients with undifferentiated arthritis.  Ann Rheum Dis. 2008;  67 (Suppl II) 477
  • 30 Mishto M, Santoro A, Bellavista E. et al Immunoproteasomes and immunosenescence.  Ageing Res Rev. 2003;  2 (4) 419-432
  • 31 Johnson SA, Cambier JC. Ageing, autoimmunity and arthritis: senescence of the B cell compartment – implications for humoral immunity.  Arthritis Res Ther. 2004;  6 (4) 131-139
  • 32 Ginaldi L, Loreto MF, Corsi MP. et al Immunosenescence and infectious diseases.  Microbes Infect. 2001;  3 (10) 851-857
  • 33 Dunn SE, Ousman SS, Sobel RA. et al Peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor (PPAR)alpha expression in T cells mediates gender differences in development of T cell-mediated autoimmunity.  J Exp Med. 2007;  204 (2) 321-330
  • 34 Yoneda T, Ishimaru N, Arakaki R. et al Estrogen deficiency accelerates murine autoimmune arthritis associated with receptor activator of nuclear factor-kappa B ligand-mediated osteoclastogenesis.  Endocrinology. 2004;  145 (5) 2384-2391
  • 35 Doran MF, Crowson CS, O’Fallon WM. et al The effect of oral contraceptives and estrogen replacement therapy on the risk of rheumatoid arthritis: a population based study.  J Rheumatol. 2004;  31 (2) 207-213
  • 36 Karlson EW, Mandl LA, Hankinson SE. et al Do breast-feeding and other reproductive factors influence future risk of rheumatoid arthritis? Results from the Nurses’ Health Study.  Arthritis Rheum. 2004;  50 (11) 3458-3467
  • 37 Syed F, Khosla S. Mechanisms of sex steroid effects on bone.  Biochem Biophys Res Commun. 2005;  328 (3) 688-696
  • 38 Nguyen LT, Jacobs J, Mathis D. et al Where FoxP3-dependent regulatory T cells impinge on the development of inflammatory arthritis.  Arthritis Rheum. 2007;  56 (2) 509-520
  • 39 Lefèvre S, Knedla A, Tennie C. et al Synovial fibroblasts spread rheumatoid arthritis to unaffected joints.  Nat Med. 2009c;  15 (12) 1414-1420
  • 40 Straub RH, Cutolo M. Circadian rhythms in rheumatoid arthritis: implications for pathophysiology and therapeutic management.  Arthritis Rheum. 2007;  56 (2) 399-408
  • 41 van der Helm-van Mil AH, Verpoort KN, le Cessie S. et al The HLA-DRB1 shared epitope alleles differ in the interaction with smoking and predisposition to antibodies to cyclic citrullinated peptide.  Arthritis Rheum. 2007;  56 (2) 425-432
  • 42 Funovits J, Aletaha D, Bykerk V. et al The 2010 American College of Rheumatology/European League against Rheumatism Classification Criteria for Rheumatoid Arthritis.  Methodological Report Phase 1. In press
  • 43 Neogi T, Aletaha D, Silman A. et al The American College of Rheumatology/European League against Rheumatism Classification Criteria for Rheumatoid Arthritis – .  Methodological Report Phase 2. In press
  • 44 Aletaha D, Neogi T, Silman A. et al The 2010 American College of Rheumatology/european League Against Rheumatism Classification Criteria for Rheumatoid Arthritis.  In press
  • 45 van Dongen H, van Aken J, Lard LR. et al Efficacy of methotrexate treatment in patients with probable rheumatoid arthritis: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial.  Arthritis Rheum. 2007;  56 (5) 1424-1432

Correspondence

Dr. Annette van der Helm-vanMil 

LUMC Rheumatology

PO Box 9600

2300 RC Leiden

Netherlands

Phone: +31/71/5263598

Fax: +31/71/5263598

Email: A.H.M.van_der_Helm@lumc.nl

    >