Prostate-specific antigen and prostate-specific antigen kinetics in predicting ¹⁸F-sodium fluoride positron emission tomography-computed tomography positivity forfirst bone metastases in patients with biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy

We evaluated the association between serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) level and kinetics to predict ¹⁸F-sodium fluoride positron emission tomography-computed tomography (¹⁸F-NaF PET-CT) positivity forfirst bone metastases in men with biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy. All ¹⁸F-NaF PET-CT scans that were performed at our institution during 2010–2014 were queried to find patients who demonstrated biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy. Records were reviewed to obtain data on PSA levels and kinetics at the time of ¹⁸F-NaF PET-CT and pathologic features of the prostatectomy specimen, which were then used for receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to determine predictability for ¹⁸F-NaF PET positivity. Thirty-six patients met our inclusion criteria. Of these, 8 (22.2%) had positive ¹⁸F-NaF PET-CT scans. Mean values for PSA, PSA doubling time (PSADT), and PSA velocity (PSAV) were 2.02 ng/ml (range: 0.06–11.7 ng/ml), 13.2 months (range: 1.11–60.84), and 1.28 ng/ml/year (range: 0.1–5.28) for ¹⁸F-NaF PET-CT negative scans, and 4.11 ng/ml (range: 0.04–14.38 ng/ml), 8.9 months (range; 0.7–27.8), and 9.06 ng/ml/year (range: 0.04–50.2) for ¹⁸F-NaF PET-CT positive scans, respectively (P = 0.07, 0.47, and 0.02, respectively, for PSA, PSADT, and PSAV). ROC analysis for ¹⁸F-NaF PET-CT positivity resulted in area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.634 for PSA, 0.598 for PSADT, and 0.688 for PSAV. ROC analysis with combined models gave AUC values of 0.723 for a combination of PSA and PSADT, 0.689 for a combination of PSA and PSAV, and 0.718 for grouping of PSA, PSADT, and PSAV. There was no significant association between ¹⁸F-NaF PET-CT positivity and primary tumor Gleason score, TN staging, and status of surgical margins. ¹⁸F-NaF PET-CT detectedfirst-time osseous metastases in 22.2% of our patients with biochemical recurrence after prostatectomy with the PSA level range ≤11.7 ng/ml. PSAV was statistically significant in predicting ¹⁸F-NaF PET-CT positivity. ROC analysis demonstrated higher AUCs when PSA was combined with PSA kinetics parameters.

Keywords

¹⁸F-sodium fluoride - cancer - positron emission tomography - prostate - prostate-specific antigen

Publication History

Article published online:
18 May 2022