Keywords
anticoagulants - atrial fibrillation - nonagenarians - oldest age - venous thromboembolism
Introduction
By 2040, it has been estimated that global life expectancy will increase by 4.4 years
for men and 4.4 years for women, to 74.3 and 79.7 years, respectively.[1] In most high-income countries, metabolic risk factors such as high blood pressure,
high plasma fasting glucose, high body mass index, and tobacco will significantly
increase.[1] In the coming years, ischemic heart disease and stroke will remain among the leading
causes of death in high-income countries. With this in mind, as life expectancy increases
and health improves, it is important to assess optimal antithrombotic treatment in
elderly populations. For patients aged 90 years and greater, the balance between anticoagulant-related
bleeding and potential benefit of avoiding thrombotic events may be challenging to
assess. This balance is particularly difficult to calculate since patients aged 90
years or older are often excluded from clinical trials and few data are available
on current anticoagulant management and outcomes in this unique population. This review
focuses on evidence for anticoagulant treatment in atrial fibrillation (AF) and venous
thromboembolism (VTE) along with management of anticoagulation-related bleeding in
nonagenarians.
Atrial Fibrillation
AF is the most common heart rhythm disorder in daily practice.[2] Its prevalence is strongly associated with increasing age and varies from 0.1% among
persons younger than 55 years to 9.0% among patients 80 years or older.[3] Given an aging global population, the burden of AF is growing. However, evidence
on the efficacy and safety of antithrombotic therapies in patients aged 90 years or
older from randomized or cohort studies is scarce. Thus, there is broad uncertainty
concerning the overall clinical benefit of anticoagulation versus no anticoagulation
as well as the best antithrombotic strategy in elderly AF patients.
Antithrombotic Treatment in Nonagenarians
It is well known that thromboembolic prevention management is often inadequate and
de-prescribing in the elderly is common. Both physicians and patients contribute to
de-prescribing anticoagulation, patients because of the perceived risk of bleeding
and the regular need for laboratory visits while physicians for the overestimation
and fear of the risk of bleeding.[4] Thus, some physicians are too aggressive on prescribing standard anticoagulation
and others physicians tend to undertreat elderly patients, regardless of their general
condition. This is of particular relevance in the frail elderly.
The critical dilemma is whether, in these older patients, the bleeding risks outweigh
the expected benefits. This assessment is particularly challenging because many risk
factors for bleeding are also risk factors for ischemic events. In the BAFTA randomized
study, which included 973 patients with AF aged ≥75 years, the use of warfarin was
associated with significant reduction of thromboembolic events (1.8 vs. 3.8%/year,
relative risk [RR]: 0.48; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28–0.80) without an increased
risk of bleeding (1.9 vs. 2.0%/year, RR: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.43–1.73) compared with antiplatelet
therapy.[5] However, it is not clear how many of these patients were aged ≥90 years. Another
analysis which included 366 patients with AF aged ≥85 years treated with apixaban
or aspirin from the AVERROES trial showed similar results.[6] Fewer of these patients experienced stroke or systemic embolism when treated with
apixaban versus aspirin (1.0 vs. 7.5%, hazard ratio [HR]: 0.14; 95% CI: 0.02–0.48)
with similar risk of major bleeding in the two groups (4.7 vs. 4.9%). More recently,
a sub-analysis of the observational PREFER registry in AF showed that the use of oral
anticoagulation in patients aged ≥90 years is associated with a reduction in thromboembolic
events (odd ratio [OR]: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.12–2.74; p = 0.48) and with a similar risk of bleedings (OR: 1.05; 95% CI: 0.30–3.68; p = 0.75) compared with no antithrombotic treatment or antiplatelet therapy.[7] In an effort to combine the overall risk of bleeding and thrombotic events, a decision
analysis study using the characteristics of 14,946 patients aged 75 years or older
with AF found that the net clinical benefit of anticoagulation decreased with age,
providing a minimal benefit after age 87 years with warfarin and 92 years with apixaban.[8] This study is the first to report that when all other health conditions affecting
older adults are taken into account, the anticoagulant benefit actually decreases
with age. Furthermore, the results confirm the importance of considering the competing
risk of death in estimating the net clinical benefit of anticoagulant therapy particularly
in the elderly population. While recognizing that under-treatment is a major concern
in old age, this study now adds caution to our treatment decisions on anticoagulation
in very elderly patients. Results of anticoagulant trials are summarized in [Table 1].
Table 1
Main clinical features and outcomes of AF anticoagulant studies
Study
|
Study design
|
No. of patients
|
Mean age (y)
|
Treatment
|
Mean follow-up (y)
|
Efficacy % pts/y
|
Safety % pts/y
|
Anticoagulants vs.antiplatelets or placebo
|
BAFTA[4]
|
Randomized
|
485
488
|
81.5
81.5
|
Antiplatelets
Warfarin
|
2.7
|
1.8%
3.8%
|
1.9%
2.0%
|
AVERROES[5]
|
Randomized
|
366
|
≥85
|
Aspirin
Apixaban
|
1
|
7.5%
1.0%
|
4.7%
4.9%
|
PREFER AF[6]
|
Observational (prospective)
|
58
26
|
≥90
|
Anticoagulation
Placebo/antiplatelets
|
1
|
6.9%
11.5%
|
8.6%
7.7%
|
Warfarin vs.direct oral anticoagulants
|
ARISTOTLE[8]
|
Randomized
|
2,850
2,828
|
≥75
|
Apixaban
Warfarin
|
1.8
|
1.6%
2.2%
|
3.3%
5.2%
|
RE-LY[9]
|
Randomized
|
4,815
2,423
|
≥75
|
Dabigatran
Warfarin
|
2
|
1.4% (d150) 1.9% (d110)
2.1% (warfarin)
|
5.1% (d150)
4.4% (d110)
4.4% (warfarin)
|
ROCKET-AF[10]
|
Randomized
|
3,082
3,082
|
≥75
|
Rivaroxaban
Warfarin
|
2
|
4.1%
5.0%
|
25.8%
23.4%
|
ENGAGE AF[11]
|
Randomized
|
5,654
2,820
|
≥75
|
Edoxaban
Warfarin
|
2.8
|
1.9%
2.3%
|
4.0%
4.8%
|
Giustozzi et al[15]
|
Observational (retro and prospective)
|
245
301
|
92
92
|
DOACs
Warfarin
|
1.2
|
2.4%
2.3%
|
6.3%
4.2%
|
Chao et al[16]
|
Observational (retrospective)
|
978
768
|
93
93
|
DOACs
Warfarin
|
2.1
|
4.1%
4.6%
|
6.1%
6.8%
|
Abbreviation: AF, atrial fibrillation.
Warfarin and Direct Oral Anticoagulants
For several decades, vitaminK antagonists (VKAs) have been the anticoagulant of choice
in AF. However, the need for monitoring and dose adjustment, polypharmacy, and comorbidities
often lead to VKA nonadherence. The development of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs)
has dramatically changed oral anticoagulant treatment in AF. In AF patients, DOACs
were shown to be noninferior to VKAs for the prevention of stroke or systemic embolism
with the advantage of a 30 to 70% reduction in intracranial hemorrhage.[9]
[10]
[11]
[12] Moreover, the predictable effect without the need for monitoring, fewer food and
drug interactions, and shorter plasma half-life of DOACs may improve the efficacy/safety
ratio in elderly patients.
Limited evidence is currently available on efficacy and safety of DOACs in elderly
AF patients, especially in nonagenarians. In recent randomized AF phase III trials,
the percentage of patients aged 75 years or older ranged from 12.8 to 43.2% and the
mean age varies from 69.0 to 71.2 years.[9]
[10]
[11]
[12] In the ARISTOTLE trial comparing apixaban to VKA, only 84 (0.5%) of 18,201 were
age ≥90, while in the RE-LY study comparing dabigatran to VKA, only 79 (0.4%) were
aged ≥90 years.[9]
[10] In a recent meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials including patients aged
75 or older with AF and/or VTE, the risk of major or clinically relevant bleeding
was not significantly different between DOACs and conventional therapy (OR: 1.02;
95% CI: 0.73–1.43).[13] In elderly population with AF, DOACs were more effective than conventional therapy
(OR: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.48–0.87) in the prevention of stroke or systemic embolism. Among
DOACs, only a reduced dose of apixaban and both doses (60 and 30 mg) of edoxaban were
associated with lower major bleeding rates compared with VKAs in patients aged 75
years or older (OR: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.51–0.77 apixaban; OR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.67–0.98
edoxaban 60 mg, OR: 0.46, 95% CI: 0.38–0.57 edoxaban 30 mg). Similar rates of major
bleeding were observed for rivaroxaban or dabigatran in patients aged 75 years or
older compared with VKAs (OR: 1.04, 95% CI: 0.86–1.26 rivaroxaban; OR: 1.18, 95% CI:
0.97–1.44 dabigatran 150 mg, OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 0.83–1.27 dabigatran 110 mg). Although
dabigatran seemed to reduce intracranial bleedings compared with VKAs in the RE-LY
trial, it also seemed to raise the incidence of major extracranial bleeding in the
elderly. Moreover, although only limited elderly people are represented in phase III
clinical trials investigating DOACs, a recent European consensus from 2015 recommends
the use of oral factor Xa (FXa) inhibitors over VKAs in the elderly with nonvalvular
AF if creatinine clearance >15 mL/min, given the lower incidence of intracranial hemorrhage,
the favorable overall efficacy and safety, and the lack of routine monitoring.[14]
In a prospective cohort of study of 245 AF patients aged 90 years or older on DOACs,
the rate of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack was 2.4% patient-year and
that of major bleeding was 6.8% patient-year ([Table 1]).[15] No differences were observed in terms of risk of ischemic stroke and major bleeding
between DOACs and VKAs, although one limitation of the study was the different data
collection (301 VKA retrospective cohort and 245 DOAC prospective cohort). Recently,
in a retrospective study of 1,750 nonagenarians with AF, DOACs were associated with
a lower risk of death and embolic events and aninsignificant increased risk of major
bleeding compared to non-anticoagulation ([Table 1]).[16] Finally, there is little evidence on the safety and efficacy of new treatment options
for AF such as left atrial appendage occlusion or AF ablation in elderly patients.
In a retrospective study of 75 patients with AF aged 80 or older, left atrial appendage
occlusion appeared to be a safe and effective option for stroke prevention.[17] Similarly, in 84 patients aged 85 years or older, there were no differences in 7-day
device- or procedure-related adverse event rates or in annualized stroke rates between
patients aged ≥85 years and <85 years.[18]
In conclusion, there is a broad range of interest in the best treatment for AF in
patients aged 90 years or older. However, clinical trials should include more nonagenarians
to yield more robust evidence in this issue.
Open Questions and Future Perspectives
Given the lack of robust evidence, there are still several open questions about AF
in nonagenarian patients. First, the real net clinical benefit of antithrombotic therapy
still remains to be defined in these patients. Further large-scale epidemiological
studies taking into account the competing risk of death are needed. Second, further
investigations are needed to understand who is the frail elderly patient who may benefit
or not from anticoagulant therapy. In this perspective, anticoagulation should be
tailored to certain clinical issues that often coexist in nonagenarians, such as multiple
comorbidities, concomitant drugs, risk of falls, cognitive deterioration, and reduction
of life expectancy ([Fig. 1]). Third, it is important to answer the question of what is the optimal antithrombotic
treatment that can be used safely even at an older age. Indeed, further studies, possibly
randomized, are required to evaluate the safety and efficacy of DOACs or warfarin
in nonagenarians with AF. Given the worldwide growth of the oldest age patients, especially
those aged over 90 years, there is a need to improve knowledge to prevent and to cure
AF in nonagenarians.
Fig. 1 Management of atrial fibrillation in nonagenarians.
Venous Thromboembolism
Venous Thromboembolism Incidence and Risk Factors
VTE, defined as pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT), is a common
disease, rising exponentially with age.[19] The incidence of acute VTE in individuals <50 years is <1 case per 1,000 person-years
compared with 6 to 8 cases per 1,000 person-years in those >80 years, depending on
ethnicity.[20]
[21] Several risk factors are more prevalent to the elderly population, including comorbidities
of cancer, coronary disease, congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease, stroke, obesity, diabetes, frailty, immobilization, hospitalizations, and
prior VTE, among others. In general, elderly patients with multiple risk factors have
a greater risk of first VTE compared with younger populations.[19]
[22]
[23] While the aged population will result in a rising VTE incidence, the overall case-fatality
rate is not rising, likely owing to more effective interventions and therapies.[24] However, little information is known on VTE management and risk of recurrence in
the nonagenarian population.
Diagnostic Imaging for VTE in Nonagenarians
Compression ultrasonography of the proximal veins or whole leg for distal veins is
the standard diagnostic modality used to evaluate suspected DVT. The sensitivity and
specificity of this technique do not vary according to patient's age.[25] For suspected PE, the diagnostic accuracy of computed tomography pulmonary angiography
(CTPA) is also not age-dependent, and CTPA is the preferred imaging technique used
for PE given its widespread availability.[26] Limitations to use of CTPA include contrast dye allergy and risk of contrast-induced
acute kidney injury in those with pre-existing renal impairment.[27] A potentially useful diagnostic imaging tool in patients with suspected PE and renal
disease is ventilation-perfusion (V/Q) scan. Users need to be cognizant that the probability
of inconclusive or intermediate-probability V/Q scans increases with age, often necessitating
additional investigations.[28]
Treatment of VTE in Nonagenarians
Although the risk of VTE increases with age, there are limited data on the safest
and most effective anticoagulation therapy in nonagenarians. DOACs are first-line
therapy in VTE treatment in patients without cancer, owing to their favorable bleeding
profile, in particular reduced intracranial bleedings.[29]
[30]
[31] The efficacy and safety of DOACs have not been specifically evaluated in older patients
in phase 3 trials, with only 14% of participants in VTE DOAC trials aged >75 years;
no information is reported for participants >90 years. Subgroup analyses of patients
>75 years demonstrated excellent efficacy and safety profiles of DOACs compared with
VKA (RR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.38–0.82 and RR: 0.49; 95% CI: 0.25–0.96, respectively).[32] These data reinforce the superior reduction in recurrent VTE of DOACs to VKAs without
compromising bleeding risks in elderly patients with acute VTE.
Recurrent VTE and Extended Treatment
The risk of recurrent VTE is an important consideration for the length of anticoagulation
treatment. In patients with provoked acute VTE, a short duration of 3 months of anticoagulation
treatment is sufficient.[29] However, patients with unprovoked index VTE have a greater risk for recurrent thrombosis,
potentially warranting extended anticoagulation. Several clinical risk prediction
models for recurrent VTE in patients with first unprovoked VTE exist, including Men
Continue and HERDOO2, the DASH score, and the Vienna Prediction Model.[33]
[34]
[35] Limitations of their application to nonagenarians when determining those at low
risk for recurrent VTE and whocan safely stop anticoagulation include nonapplicability
to all-comers >65 years, invalidity in the elderly population, and lack of discriminant
power in elderly patients. A multicenter prospective cohort study in Switzerland,
the SWIss venous ThromboembolismCOhort (SWITCO65 + ), evaluated 991 acute VTE patients
aged >65 years for predictors and outcomes of recurrent VTE.[36] Variables previously identified to be associated with recurrent VTE were collected,
including baseline patient demographics (age, male gender, obesity), index VTE (PE,
proximal DVT, distal DVT), provoked or unprovoked nature of index event, prior VTE,
and medical comorbidities, among others. The association between these variables and
risk of recurrent VTE was evaluated using a competing risk regression (for non-VTE-related
deaths). The median age of participants was 75 years and the cumulative incidence
of recurrent VTE at 3 years was 15%. Over a follow-up period of 36 months, the only
risk factors associated with recurrent VTE were proximal DVT (adjusted HR: 2.41; 95%
CI: 1.07–5.38, compared with distal DVT) and unprovoked VTE (adjusted HR: 1.67; 95%
CI: 1.00–2.77, compared with provoked VTE). Importantly, these findings highlight
that typical risk factors previously identified to increase risk of recurrent VTE
may not be relevant to patients older than 75 years. Additional risk stratification
studies are needed for elderly patients. With respect to outcomes in this cohort of
elderly patients with recurrent VTE, 20% of recurrences were fatal, and the highest
was in those with index PE (23%) and those with cancer-associated VTE (29%).[36]
Determining the risk of recurrent VTE and the decision to extend anticoagulation treatment
is no different in nonagenarians than in a younger population in that a consideration
of bleeding risk must be included. The exclusion of many elderly patients in phase
3 VTE DOAC trials was due to the presence of increased bleeding risk.[37] The American College of Chest Physicians (ACCP) 2016 VTE guidelines suggested a
bleeding risk model that deemed patients older than 75 years at high risk for bleeding.
As such, patients aged 75 and older should receive anticoagulation treatment for a
minimum of 3 months following unprovoked VTE, after which balancing risks of recurrent
VTE and bleeding should guide the decision to extend anticoagulation.[28] Incorporation of patient preferences should also be considered. As with clinical
prediction models to determine recurrent VTE risk, there are inaccuracies when applying
bleeding risk models in the elderly. Additional information on bleeding risk and bleeding
management can be found below.
Open Questions and Future Perspectives
There are unanswered questions regarding VTE management in nonagenarians due to their
under-representation in phase 3 clinical trials. Future research should aim to evaluate
efficacy and safety of different anticoagulants in elderly patients. Additional consideration
would include the duration of anticoagulation. In support of this decision on treatment
duration, clinical prediction models for recurrent VTE and bleeding risk derived from
and validated in an elderly population are needed.
Managing Anticoagulation-Related Bleeding in Nonagenarians
Managing Anticoagulation-Related Bleeding in Nonagenarians
Bleeding Risk in Elderly Patients
Bleeding is a common side effect of anticoagulant medication use. This is particularly
true for elderly patients.[38] In fact, most bleeding risk assessment models include age as a predictor. For example,
the HAS-BLED score gives one point for age ≥65 years.[39] The ATRIA, ORBIT, and HEMORRHAGES scores each give points for age ≥75.[40]
[41]
[42] Recognizing that the association between age and bleeding risk is likely not binary,
the ABC score assigns bleeding risk along the continuum of age between 44 and 90 years.[43] Yet little data are available to accurately predict risk of bleeding in nonagenarians.
In fact, use of bleeding risk scores derived from younger patients may underestimate
the risk of bleeding in the most elderly patients.[44]
[45] And even less data are available to guide nonagenarians in assessing bleeding risk
between various oral anticoagulant medications.[46]
Anticoagulation-related bleeding varies widely in severity. The majority of bleeding
events are not life-threatening but can cause significant concern or distress to patients.[47] These include prolonged bleeding after a skin laceration, frequent bruising, and
epistaxis. However, severe bleeding can often be life-threatening, especially for
the most elderly patients. And up to one-third of patients do not restart their anticoagulant
following a bleeding event.[47]
[48]
[49] Therefore, strategies to prevent bleeding are critical to ensure ongoing thromboembolism
prevention with anticoagulation therapy. Importantly, patients are less likely to
experience bleeding complications when they are taking fewer antithrombotic agents,
using gastroprotection, and increasing physical activity.[50]
[51]
[52]
Managing Anticoagulation-Related Bleeding
The management of patients with anticoagulation-related bleeding should be similar
regardless of age ([Table 2]). The recent 2017 American College of Cardiology Expert Consensus Document outlines
three key steps in anticoagulant-related bleeding management.[53]
Table 2
Management of anticoagulant-related bleeding in nonagenarians
Step
|
Key points
|
Considerations for nonagenarians
|
1. Assess severity
|
Life-threatening
• Critical organ OR
• Hemodynamic instability
|
• Comorbidities may increase risk for hemodynamic instability
|
Major
• Noncritical organ
• Hemodynamically stable
• 2+ g/dL hemoglobin drop OR 2+ unit red blood cell transfusion
|
Nonmajor
• Require health system contact
• Little or no hemoglobin drop or transfusion requirement
|
2. Manage and control bleeding
|
• Hold anticoagulant unless nuisance bleed
• Initiate local control measures
• Consider reversal if life-threatening bleed
– Warfarin → 4F-PCC
– Dabigatran → idarucizumab
– Factor Xa inhibitors → 4F-PCC or andexanet α
|
• Consider procedural risk if patient has impaired cardiopulmonary status
• Avoid high-volume reversal with FFP whenever possible
|
3. Restart anticoagulant
|
• Re-assess thrombotic risk
• Determine timing for restart
– 1 wk for most gastrointestinal bleeds
– 4–8 wk for intracranial hemorrhage
|
• Often at very high thromboembolic risk
• Restarting anticoagulant is usually recommended
|
Abbreviations: 4F-PCC, 4-factor prothrombin complex concentrate; FFP, fresh frozen
plasma.
Step 1: Assess the Severity of Bleeding
A life-threatening bleeding event is typically one that occurs in a critical organ
and results in hemodynamic instability. Nonagenarians may be at particular risk of
bleeding-related hemodynamic instability, particularly if they have comorbid conditions
that limit their cardiopulmonary reserve. These patients require urgent intervention
to prevent further decompensation and/or permanent injury.
Patients experiencing anticoagulation-related bleeding in a noncritical site (e.g.,
gastrointestinal track) that does not result in hemodynamic instability may still
be at risk for poor outcomes. In particular, patients who present with a significant
drop in hemoglobin (usually ≥2 g/dL) or require significant blood product transfusions
(≥2 units of packed red blood cells) are at increased risk for complications, including
death. Collectively, these are referred to as major bleeding events. Prompt response
to control bleeding and stabilize the patient is warranted in these situations as
well.
Patients with active bleeding that does not meet the above criteria are considered
to have nonmajor bleeding events. When the bleeding results in contact with the health
care system (e.g., clinic or emergency department visit), they are considered clinically
relevant nonmajor bleeding.[54]
Step 2: Manage and Control Bleeding
For all patients with clinically relevant nonmajor, major, or life-threatening bleeding,
the first step in management is to hold further anticoagulant administration. Patients
with nuisance bleeding (e.g., minor cuts and bruises) can often continue taking their
anticoagulants uninterrupted. Consideration should be made to mitigate any procedure-related
risk from these local measures in nonagenarians, especially if their baseline cardiopulmonary
reserve is limited.
For patients with life-threatening bleeding or for whom the local measures are unable
to control the bleeding source, reversal of anticoagulation may be appropriate. Laboratory
testing should be conducted to verify the degree of active anticoagulation.
For warfarin-related bleeding events, use of 4-factor prothrombin concentrate complex
(PCC) is preferred over fresh frozen plasma. In addition to its quicker administration,
it also requires significantly less volume to administer than fresh frozen plasma.
For nonagenarians who may have comorbid cardiac conditions, avoiding excess volume
may help to prevent pulmonary edema and other issues related to congestive heart failure.
For patients with dabigatran-related bleeding events, use of idarucizumab 5 g intravenous
bolus is recommended for major and life-threatening bleeding events. If idarucizumab
is not available, then 4-factor PCC or activated PCC would be recommended. The REVERSE-AD
study of dabigatran-related reversal with idarucizumab included patients up to 93
years of age and therefore would be applicable to nonagenarians.[55]
For patients with FXa inhibitor-related bleeding events, use of 4-factor PCC is recommended
for most major and life-threatening bleeding events. In some circumstances, patients
with apixaban- or rivaroxaban-related life-threatening bleeding (e.g., intracranial)
may be treated with andexanet α bolus followed by 2-hour infusion. However, availability
of andexanet α is currently quite limited and has significant cost implications. Dosing
is based on specific anticoagulant, dose, and time since last anticoagulant administration.
The ANNEXA-4 study of apixaban and rivaroxaban reversal with andexanetα included an
older population (mean ± standard deviation: 77 ± 10 years), which did not directly
specify including nonagenarian patients.[56]
Step 3: Restarting Anticoagulants
The final, and perhaps most consequential, step in managing anticoagulation-related
bleeding is determining if and when the anticoagulant should be restarted. As with
any medication-related adverse event, this is a prime opportunity to re-evaluate the
necessity of anticoagulation therapy.
Nonagenarian patients are often at high thromboembolic risk. If the ongoing risk of
bleeding can be mitigated, then the risk–benefit balance often favors re-initiation.[57]
[58]
[59] Typically, only 1 week is necessary for patients with gastrointestinal bleeding
that has been intervened.[49] Other patients such as those with intracranial hematoma or traumatic bleeding may
benefit from anticoagulation-free periods of up to 4 to 8 weeks from the event.[48]
[57]
[59] However, these data are largely extrapolated from slightly younger populations as
minimal data in nonagenarians are published.
Open Questions
Given the limited published data on anticoagulation-related bleeding in nonagenarians,
a few key questions remain. These can be framed in terms of the three steps of anticoagulation-related
bleeding management. First, it is unclear if definitions of life-threatening, major,
and nonmajor bleeding result in similar risks of death among nonagenarian and younger
patients experiencing anticoagulation-related bleeding. Second, while the use of various
anticoagulation reversal strategies has been studied, safety and efficacy data are
largely lacking in nonagenarian patients. And third, how ongoing risks of thromboembolism
versus anticoagulation-related bleeding are calculated and compared in nonagenarian
patients is largely unreported. Given the aging population and increasing use of oral
anticoagulants, especially DOACs, these questions remain high in priority to inform
clinical care.
Conclusions
Given the growth of older patients worldwide, especially those over 90 years of age,
there is a need to improve knowledge about the management of anticoagulant treatment
and anticoagulation-related complications in nonagenarians. Therefore, clinical studies
should include more nonagenarians in the coming years to produce more robust evidence
for this issue.
Time Capsule
-
In the next 30 years, almost all patients with AF aged 90 years or older will receive
oral anticoagulant treatment. Factors Xa inhibitors (or a new class of antithrombotic
agents) will be the anticoagulants of choice, while warfarin and aspirin will no longer
be used in this setting. Left atrial appendage occlusion will become a valid option
in elderly AF patients where anticoagulation is contraindicated.
-
In 2050, a lowdose of direct oral anticoagulants will be the treatment of choice for
acute VTE in nonagenarians.
-
In the next 30 years, evidence supporting safe use of anticoagulant-specific reversal
strategies will support these approaches, even if newer antithrombotic agents are
eventually introduced.
Lana Castellucci
Lana Castellucci, MD, FRCPC, MSc, is an Assistant Professor in the Faculty of Medicine
at the University of Ottawa, and an Associate Scientist at The Ottawa Hospital Research
Institute. She sits on the Board of Directors of Thrombosis Canada, a national organization
promoting patient education and improved outcomes for patients with venous thrombosis.
She is an active member of the CanVECTOR (Canadian Venous Thromboembolism Clinical
Trials and Outcomes Research) Network, and recipient of the Heart and Stroke Foundation
of Canada National New Investigator Award.
Dr. Castellucci's clinical and research interests are focused on the prevention, diagnosis
and management of anticoagulant-related bleeding and venous thromboembolism. She is
the Principal Investigator of a peer-reviewed international clinical trial (funded
by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research) Comparison of Bleeding Risk between
Rivaroxaban and Apixaban (COBRRA) in patients with acute venous thromboembolism. She
completed her Thrombosis fellowship at the University of Ottawa under the mentorship
of Drs. Carrier, Le Gal, Rodger, and Wells.
Michela Giustozzi
Michela Giustozzi, MD, is a young researcher and an internal vascular medicine specialist
at the University Hospital of Perugia (Italy) within the Internal and Cardiovascular
Medicine- Stroke Unit chaired by Prof. G. Agnelli. She has been a nucleous member
of the European Society Cardiology Young Working Group on Thrombosis since 2018.
Dr. Giustozzi's clinical activity is mainly focused on the management and treatment
of cardiovascular disease while her research studies mainly investigate thromboembolic
disease, both at venous and arterial site. Other areas of interest also include antithrombotic
therapy and atrial fibrillation.
Geoffrey Barnes
Geoffrey Barnes, MD, MSc, is a cardiologist and vascular medicine specialist at the
University of Michigan Frankel Cardiovascular Center. His clinical practice involves
care of patients on chronic anticoagulant medications or with thrombotic disorders.
He is a health services researcher with expertise in the implementation and evaluation
of anticoagulation management strategies. In addition to research funding from the
NIH and AHRQ, he serves as co-director of the Michigan Anticoagulation Quality Improvement
Initiative (MAQI2). He completed his medical school, residency, and fellowship training
at the University of Michigan under the mentorship of Drs. Jim Froehlich and Anne
Sales.