CC BY 4.0 · TH Open 2021; 05(03): e420-e437
DOI: 10.1055/s-0041-1735978
Review Article

Hyperhomocysteinemia and Ischemic Stroke: A Potential Dose-Response Association—A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Marte Holmen
1   Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
,
Anne-Mette Hvas
1   Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
2   Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark
,
1   Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
› Author Affiliations
Funding This study was supported by grants from Redordati Rare Diseases. The funders of the study had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or manuscript preparation.
 

Abstract

Background and Purpose Previous studies suggest an association between increased homocysteine (Hcy) and risk of ischemic stroke. Yet, it remains unknown whether a dose-response association exists between Hcy levels and risk of ischemic stroke.

Methods Systematic literature searches were performed in PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science. Inclusion criteria were studies investigating ischemic stroke risk in an adult population with measured Hcy levels. We computed odds ratios (ORs) for a 5 µmol/L increase in Hcy levels using a random effects meta-analysis.

Results In total, 108 studies met the inclusion criteria of which 22 were rated as high-quality studies, and 20 studies included a dose-response analysis. Hcy levels were analyzed either as a continuous or categorical variable. The majority of the studies found an increased risk of ischemic stroke when comparing the highest-to-lowest Hcy strata. A graded association was observed over the Hcy strata, indicating a dose-response association, with the most apparent effect when Hcy levels exceeded approximately 15 µmol/L. No studies explored a potential nonlinear association between Hcy levels and ischemic stroke. Six studies were included in a meta-analysis, showing an OR of 1.43 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.28–1.61) per 5 µmol/L increase in Hcy levels.

Conclusion This review and meta-analysis indicate a dose-response association between Hcy levels and ischemic stroke. An evident increase in effect measures was observed when Hcy levels exceeded 15 µmol/L, indicating a nonlinear association between ischemic stroke and Hcy levels. This nonlinear association warrants further study.

This study is registered with clinical trial ( https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/ ; unique identifier: CRD42019130371).


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Introduction

The comprehension that elevated homocysteine (Hcy) in plasma might predispose to arterial or venous thromboembolism emerged more than 40 years ago, when patients with homocysteinuria were observed to have a high risk of early vascular disease.[1] This led to extensive research regarding the role of Hcy in cardiovascular disease (CVD) and whether elevated Hcy is a modifiable risk factor.

Elevation of Hcy levels may be caused by several factors, including deficiency of vitamin B6, folate, and/or vitamin B12, due to insufficient intake or absorption, renal insufficiency, several drugs,[2] lifestyle factors, such as smoking and alcohol intake, or genetic factors.[3]

Among fasting individuals, normal Hcy levels commonly range from 5 to 15 µmol/L.[4] Animal studies have demonstrated that elevated Hcy levels leads to complex changes within the blood vessel wall, with increased oxidative stress, proinflammatory effects, and endothelial dysfunction, indicating that an association between increased Hcy and CVD is biologically plausible.[5] [6] [7] Several studies have investigated the potential association between elevated Hcy concentration and risk of CVD, including stroke, but results are inconsistent.[8] [9] [10]

The Norwegian Vitamin Trial indicated that treatment with folic acid and vitamin B combination therapy effectively lowered Hcy levels by 28%, but no effect was found on the incidence of ischemic stroke.[11] The Vitamin Intervention for Stroke Prevention trail demonstrated similar results, with no significant reduction in the risk of stroke among patients treated with B-vitamin combinations.[12] In contrast, the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial reported a 24% risk reduction for ischemic stroke in the group that received folic acid treatment.[13] While, a Cochrane review from 2017 found a small reduction in risk of stroke in patients treated with B12, folate and B6 vitamins compared with patients receiving placebo.[14]

Systematic reviews of observational studies have reported a dose-response related association between Hcy levels and the risk of stroke, independent of other cardiovascular risk factors.[15] The most recent literature investigating the dose-response relationship between stroke and Hcy levels was performed in 2002; however, this review did not differentiate between ischemic stroke and hemorrhagic stroke.[15] Therefore, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the dose-response association between Hcy levels and the risk of ischemic stroke.


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Methods

The present systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.[16] The protocol was published in the Prospero database (ID: CRD42019130371).

Literature Search

Searches in PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science were performed on May 8, 2020. Where possible, filters were applied to remove nonhuman studies, and non-English language publications. No limits were set with regard to publication year. Free-text and the Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) terms or Emtree-preferred terms were used. Search combinations included terms related to the following search categories: Hcy, thromboembolism, biomarker, and adult human population. The complete search combinations used in PubMed is provided hereinafter. Similar search combinations were used for searches in the remaining three databases.

PubMed

Search ((((((((“Homocysteine”[Mesh] OR “Hyperhomocysteinemia”[Mesh] OR homocyst* OR hyperhomocyst*))) AND ((“Embolism and Thrombosis”[Mesh] OR “Myocardial Infarction”[Mesh] OR “Acute Coronary Syndrome”[Mesh] OR “Brain Ischemia”[Mesh] OR “Stroke”[Mesh] OR “Deep vein thrombosis” OR “pulmonary embolism” OR “lung embolism” OR thrombosis OR embolism OR thromboembolism OR stroke OR “acute stroke” OR “brain infarction” OR “cerebral infarction” OR “brain ischemia” OR “cerebral ischemia” OR “ischemic stroke” OR “intracranial embolism” OR “intracranial thrombosis” OR apoplexy OR “cerebrovascular accident” OR “cerebral stroke” OR “myocardial infarction” OR “myocardial infarct” OR “heart infarct” OR “heart infarction” OR “acute coronary syndrome” OR “acute myocardial infarction” OR “brain embolism” OR “cardiovascular stroke” OR “heart attack” OR “acute myocardial infarct” OR “acute heart infarction”))) AND ((“Biomarkers”[Mesh] OR “Blood”[Mesh] OR blood OR serum OR plasma OR biomarker OR “biological marker” OR “blood level” OR “blood levels”))) AND ((“Humans”[Mesh] OR adult[MeSH Terms] OR adults[All Fields] OR adult[All Fields] OR patients[All Fields] OR patient[All Fields] OR humans[All Fields] OR human[All Fields]))) AND ((Danish[Language] OR Norwegian[Language] OR English[Language] OR swedish[Language])))) NOT ((comment[Publication Type] OR congress[Publication Type] OR letter[Publication Type] OR “Case Reports”[Publication Type])).

Initially, all thromboembolic events were included as outcome, as seen in our search combinations, resulting in a large number of eligible articles ([Fig. 1]). Therefore, our inclusion/exclusion criteria were revised after screening of abstracts to include only articles with ischemic stroke as outcome for this review. This choice was based on results found in the 2017 Cochrane review[14] which showed a potential association between Hcy and ischemic stroke in randomized trials of B-vitamin treatment.

Zoom Image
Fig. 1 Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRIMSA) flow diagram.[16]

Our inclusion criteria were studies investigating ischemic stroke events in patients with measured plasma Hcy providing original data on adult human populations. Both interventional and observational studies were included, including randomized trials, cohort, cross-sectional, and case-control studies. The accepted endpoint was acute ischemic stroke, including all subtypes. The exclusion criteria were as follows: nonoriginal literature, reviews, meta-analyses, guidelines, case studies, conference abstracts, and letters/editorials/comments without original data; missing information on Hcy concentration or studies including hyper-Hcy as a binary variable; endpoint of transient cerebral ischemia and arteriosclerotic lesions without sign of thrombosis, and silent brain infarction; and language other than English.

First, 100 abstracts were randomly selected and screened independently by the three authors for either exclusion or inclusion to full-text screening. Any disagreement was solved by consensus. Screening of the remaining abstracts was performed by MH. Similarly, 50 randomly selected articles proceeding to full text screening were read in full by all authors, and any disagreement was solved by consensus. Remaining papers were screened by MH for inclusion or exclusion, and in case of doubt, all three authors discussed the study in question.


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Data Extraction and Quality Assessment

Data extraction from the included articles was performed by M.H. and verified by A.M.H. and J.F.H.A. Study quality was assessed by all three authors using the Study Quality Assessment Tools for Observational Cohort and Cross-Sectional studies and for Case-Control studies, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institute of Health, the United States.[17] Each study was rated good, fair or poor according to the estimated risk of bias. Disagreement between authors was solved by consensus.


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Data Synthesis

We performed a meta-analysis of odds ratios (ORs) in which Hcy was included as a continuous linear variable.[18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] Hcy increments was standardized to 5 µmol/L. A random effects model was used to obtain a summary OR as a measure of the relative risk. Forest plots and funnel plots were used to visualize the data.


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Results

In total, 108 original articles were included in the review. Of these, 22 articles rated good, 47 fair and 39 poor. Screening of abstracts and inclusion of articles are shown in [Fig. 1]. Articles rated good were grouped according to study design of which 18 were case-control studies and 4 were observational cohort studies, as presented in [Tables 1],[2],[3]. Only articles rated good are reported on and discussed in this article. Studies rated fair[24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] [49] [50] [51] [52] [53] [54] [55] [56] [57] [58] [59] [60] [61] [62] [63] [64] [65] [66] [67] [68] and poor[69] [70] [71] [72] [73] [74] [75] [76] [77] [78] [79] [80] [81] [82] [83] [84] [85] [86] [87] [88] [89] [90] [91] [92] [93] [94] [95] [96] [97] [98] [99] [100] [101] [102] [103] [104] are provided in [Table 4]. For the dose-response analysis, we included articles rated fair to supplement results in articles rated good ([Table 5]).

Table 1

Case-control studies investigating the association between ischemic stroke and homocysteine levels, n = 18

Study (year)

Study population

Cases: n, mean age ± SD, %male

Controls: n, mean age ± SD, %male

Hcy results (µmol/L)

Timing of blood sampling[a]

Outcome and diagnostic criteria of ischemic stroke

Matched variables and adjusted covariates (Adj)

Campbell et al (2006)[110]

Cases: n = 252, mean age = 67 ± 8 years

73% male

Controls: n = 544, mean age = 66 ± 8 years

73% male

Cases, median Hcy: 16.3 µmol/L (IQR: 13.3–20.0)

Controls, median Hcy: 16.3 µmol/L (IQR: 13.3–19.2)

Timing: at baseline; prior to outcome

Mean follow-up till outcome: 3.9 years

Outcome: ischemic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: CT scan within 3 weeks, autopsy

Matched: age (within 5 years), sex, treatment allocated (perindopril-based/ placebo, mono/dual therapy), region, most recent qualifying event at randomization

Adj: matched variables, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, current smoking, diabetes mellitus, peripheral arterial disease, antihypertensive medication other than β-blockers, calcium channel blockers, diuretics

Cui et al (2008)[19]

Cases: n = 101, mean age = 68.7 years

Male % = not stated

Controls: n = 101, mean age = 67.7

Male % = not stated

Cases: 13.8 µmol/L

Controls: 12.5 µmol/L

Timing: prior to outcome (13–15 years)

Outcome: CVD, subclassified into ischemic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: ICD9 codes 433–434, ICD10 code I63

Matched: sex, age, community, year of serum storage

Adj: BMI, serum total and HDL-cholesterol, alcohol, smoking status, history of hypertension, diabetes

Eikelboom et al (2000)[23]

Cases: n = 219, mean age = 66.1 ± 12.4 years

64% male

Controls: n = 205

60% male, mean age = 67.0 ± 11.8 years

Cases: 12.4 µmol/L (11.7–13.2)

Controls: 10.5 µmol/L (10.0–11.0)

Timing: within 7 days of outcome

Outcome: ischemic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: CT scan within 3 weeks, autopsy

Matched: none

Adj: age, sex, creatinine, red cell folate, serum folate, pyridoxine cobalamin, MTHFR genotype, smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia, previous vascular events

Fallon et al (2003)[21]

Study population: male smokers

Cases: n = 212, mean age = 58.9 ± 5.2 years

Controls: n = 212, mean age = 58.8 ± 5.3 years

Cases: 13.3 µmol/L (12.6–13.9)

Controls: 12.6 µmol/L (12.0–13.2)

Timing: prior to outcome

Outcome: ischemic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: medical records, ICD9 codes 433–434

Register of causes of death

Matched: age (4-year range)

Adj: all case/control pairs: systolic + diastolic blood pressures, total serum cholesterol, education, BMI, smoking: duration + cigarettes smoked daily + debut age, trial treatment group

120 case/control pairs: further adj. for serum folate, B6, alcohol

Haltmayer et al (2002)[20]

Study population: male patients with symptomatic PAD

Cases: n = 50, mean age = 69.8 years (25–75th percentile, 61.7–73.8)

Controls: n = 400, mean age = 66.6 years (25–75th percentile, 57.6–73.1)

Cases median Hcy: 18.6 µmol/L (25–75th percentile, 13.7–23.1)

Controls: 15.1 µmol/L (25–75th percentile, 12.4–18.5)

Timing: after outcome (5 months–21 years)

Outcome: ischemic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: medical reports + additional CT scans

Matched: none

Adj: age, BMI, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, current smoking, carotid stenosis >50%, total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, serum triglycerides

Hultdin et al (2011)[111]

Cases: n = 321 ischemic stroke

n = 60 hemorrhagic stroke

55.8% male with ischemic stroke, mean age = 55.0 ± 8.1 years

Controls: n = 788, 58.6% male, mean age = 55.0 ± 8.0 years

Cases: 12.8 µmol/L (±SD 5.6)

Controls: 12.7 µmol/L (±SD 7.7)

Timing: prior to outcome, average time to outcome >4 years

Outcome: first ever stroke, subclassified into ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: ICD-9 codes 430–438, CT, MRI scan, autopsy

Matched: age, sex

Adj: BMI, hypertension

Iso et al (2004)[18]

Cases: n = 90, 61% male, mean age = 65.9 years

Controls: n = 294, 61% male, mean age = 66.0 years

Cases: 9.8 µmol/L (9.1–10.4)

Controls: 9.0 µmol/L (8.7–9.4)

Timing: at inclusion, years prior to outcome

Outcome: Stroke (subclassification: hemorrhagic, lacunar, large-artery occlusive, embolic)

Diagnostic criteria: stroke identified with CT, ICD9 diagnosis codes 430–438, self-reporting

Matched: sex, age, community, year of serum stored, fasting status

Adj: hypertension status, BMI, current alcohol intake, cigarette smoking status, serum total cholesterol levels, log-transformed triglyceride levels, quartiles of CRP, serum glucose category

Kaplan et al (2008)[112]

Study population:

Postmenopausal women

Cases: n = 972, mean age = not stated

Controls: n = 972, mean age = not stated

Cases, median Hcy: 8.5 µmol/L (IQR: 3.7)

Controls, median Hcy: 8.2 µmol/L (25–75th percentile, 6.6–10.2)

Timing: prior to outcome

Outcome: first ever ischemic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: self-reporting, reports by family, medical records

Matched: age, race/ethnicity

Adj: aspirin use, BMI, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, smoking, high cholesterol requiring medication, antihypertensive medication, fasting glucose, LDL, HDL

Khan et al (2008)[109]

Study population: Afro-American population of the United Kingdom

Total group: n = 457, 56% male, mean age = 65.4 ± 12.2 years

Cases (ischemic stroke group): n = 408, Male % = not stated, mean age = not stated

Controls (nonischemic stroke group): n = 179, 62.0% male, mean age = 65.4 ± 7.4 years

Cases: 14.3 µmol/L (±SD 8.8)

Controls: 11.8 µmol/L (±SD 5.7)

Timing: after outcome

Outcome: stroke, including subclassification

Diagnostic criteria: CT or MRI scan. Subtyping of stroke using TOAST criteria

Matched: age and sex

Adj: age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, smoking, B12, folate, eGFR

Li et al (2003)[115]

Cases: n = 1,832 stroke patients; cerebral thrombosis: n = 807, lacunar infarction: n = 513, intracerebral hemorrhage: n = 503, 63.5% male, mean age = 60.3 ± 9.4 years

Controls: n = 1,832, 57.4% male, mean age = 59.6 ± 8.8 years

Cases, median Hcy: cerebral thrombosis: 14.7 µmol/L (range: 207.8)

Lacunar infarct: 14.8 µmol/L (range: 115.4)

Controls, median Hcy: 12.8 µmol/L (range: 123.2)

Timing: 6 weeks after outcome

Outcome: Stroke (subclassification: cerebral thrombosis, lacunar infarction, cerebral hemorrhage)

Diagnostic criteria: CT/MRI scan, ICD 9 diagnosis codes 430–438

Matched: age (5-year range), community of residence

Adj: age, sex, blood pressure, BMI, cigarette smoking, glucose, total cholesterol, triglycerides, glomerular filtration rate

Liang et al (2017)[114]

Study population: 377 patients with essential hypertension

Cases: n = 114, 60% male, mean age = 66.59 ± 11.15 years

Hypertensive controls: n = 263, 64.6% male, mean age = 65.0 ± 11.29 years

Normotensive controls: n = 109, 66.1% male, mean age = 66.13 ± 10.62 years

Cases: 19.11 µmol/L (±SD 9.70)

Hypertensive controls: 13.24 µmol/L (±SD = 5.96)

Normotensive controls: 12.78 µmol/L (±SD = 8.00)

Timing: at admission for outcome

Outcome: ischemic stroke

Diagnosis criteria: MRI scan within 24 hours

Matched: age and sex

Adj: age, sex, systolic + diastolic blood pressure, cigarette smoking

Loffredo et al (2005)[22]

Study population: 163 patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

Cases: n = 40, 40% male, mean age = 74.8 ± 8.8 years

Controls: n = 123, 49.6% male, mean age = 69.2 ± 11.5 years

Cases: 18.1 µmol/L (±SD = 9.0)

Controls: 15.4 µmol/L (±SD = 9.3)

Timing: at inclusion, after outcome

Outcome: ischemic stroke, occurring >3 months prior to inclusion

Diagnosis criteria: CT scan, medical records

Matched: none

Adj: sex, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, smoking habits, prior coronary heart disease, left ventricular ejection fraction, left atrium diameter, oral anticoagulants, aspirin, predictors of tHcy, fibrinogen levels

Rueda-Clausen et al (2012)[113]

Cases: n = 238, 55% male, mean age = 66.5 years (IQR: 58.1–75)

Controls: n = 238, 55% male, mean age = 70.8 years (IQR: 61–77)

Cases, median Hcy: 10.01 µmol/L (IQR: 7.79–13.2)

Controls, median Hcy: 8.48 µmol/L (IQR: 7.28–10.91)

Timing: within 96 hours of onset of stroke symptoms

Outcome: ischemic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: CT scan within 96 hours

Matched: age, sex, region of residence

Adj: age, sex, pack year of smoking, plasma creatinine levels, waist to hip ratio, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, use of statins, socioeconomic status

Shimizu et al (2002)[106]

Cases: n = 75, 52% male, mean age =75 years

Controls: n = 248, 62% male, mean age = 71 years

Cases: 13.0 µmol/L

Controls: 11.8 µmol/L

Timing: 3 months–30 years (mean: 7.6 years) after outcome

Outcome: ischemic stroke (subclassification: lacunar, artherothrombotic, cardioembolic, undetermined)

Diagnostic criteria: CT/MRI scan

Matched: age (2 years range), sex

Adj: age, sex, hypertension, serum creatinine, total protein, folate, B12

Tan et al (2002)[108]

Study population: young adults (20–50 years)

Cases: n = 109, 71.6% male, mean age = 43.8 ± 5.87 years

Controls: n = 88, 71.6% male, mean age = 43.1 ± 6.60 years

Cases: 13.7 µmol/L (12.7–14.9)

Controls: 10.8 µmol/L (9.9–11.8)

Timing: within 5 days of outcome

Outcome: first ever ischemic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: CT/MRI scan within 1 week

Matched: age, sex

Adj: age, sex, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, B12

Tanne et al (2003)[105]

Study population: 3,090 patients with preexisting chronic coronary artery disease

Cases: n = 160, 95% male, mean age = 61.2 ± 6.3 years

Controls: n = 160, 95% male, mean age =61.3 ± 6.4 years

Cases, median Hcy: 16.4 µmol/L (IQR: 12.7–14.3)

Controls, median Hcy: 14.3 µmol/L (IQR: 12.0–17.8)

Timing: prior to outcome

Outcome: Ischemic stroke, including subclassifications

Diagnostic criteria: CT scan.

Subtyping using TOAST criteria

Matched: age, sex, benzafibrate/placebo study medication (benzafibrate/placebo)

Adj: Age, sex, BIP study medication, current smoking, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, previous myocardial infarction

Tascilar et al (2009)[107]

Cases: large-vessel atherosclerotic stroke: n = 103, 68% male, mean age = 61.19 ± 14.20 years

Cardioembolic stroke: n = 37, 45.9% male, mean age = 73.35 ± 10.72 years

Controls: n = 37, 37.8% male, mean age = 53 ± 7.45 years

Cases: large-vessel atherosclerotic stroke: 13.94 µmol/L (±SD = 6.56)

Cardioembolic stroke: 14.96 µmol/L (±SD = 5.94)

Controls: 10.98 µmol/L (±SD = 2.91)

Timing: within 24 hours of outcome

Outcome: large-vessel atherosclerotic stroke + cardioembolic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: CT/MRI scan

Matched: none

Adj: sex, smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia

Verhoef et al (1994)[9]

Patients: n = 109, mean age = 61.9 ± 9.1 years

Controls: n = 427, mean age = 59.2 ± 8.9 years

Cases: 11.1 µmol/L (±SD = 4.0)

Controls: 10.6 µmol/L (±SD 3.4)

Timing: at inclusion, follow-up 5 years, outcome within these 5 years

Outcome: ischemic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: medical reports, confirmed by CT scan, autopsy

Matched: age, smoking habits

Adj: age, smoking habits, diabetes, hypertension, Queteet's index, aspirin assignment, total cholesterol-to-HDL cholesterol ratio, time since the last meal before the blood was drawn

Abbreviations: Adj, adjusted; BMI, body mass index; CRP, C-reactive protein; CT, computed tomography; CVD, cardiovascular disease; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; Hcy, homocysteine; HDL, high density lipoprotein; ICD, International Classification of Diseases; IQR, interquartile range; LDL, low density lipoprotein; MRI; magnetic resonance imaging; MTHFR, methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase; PAD, peripheral arterial disease; SD, standard deviation; TOAST, Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment.


Note: Hcy levels is indicated as mean (95% confidence interval) unless other otherwise specified. Age is indicated as mean ± standard deviation unless other otherwise specified.


a Timing of blood sampling refers to time of blood sampling used to determinate Hcy concentration in subjects, indicating if blood sampling occurred prior to outcome or after outcome.


Table 2

Summary of results reported in studies analyzing dose-response relationship between ischemic stroke and homocysteine, n = 20

Study (year)

Outcome

Stratum 1 (µmol/L), effect measure (95% CI)

Stratum 2 (µmol/L), effect measure (95% CI)

Stratum 3 (µmol/L), effect measure (95% CI)

Stratum 4 (µmol/L), effect measure (95% CI)

Stratum 5 (µmol/L), effect measure (95% CI)

Increments, effect measure (95% CI)

Bostom et al (1999)[118]

Nonhemorrhagic stroke

13–9.25

Ref.

9.26–11.43

RR = 1.22 (0.73–2.01)

11.44–14.23

1.31 (0.79–2.16)

14.24–219.84

1.79 (1.11–2.89)

Bostom et al (1999)[118]

Atherothrombotic brain infarction

13–9.25

Ref.

9.26–11.43

RR = 1.30 (0.68–2.49)

11.44–14.23

1.82 (0.99–3-36)

14.24–219.84

1.90 (1.02–3.51)

Cui et al (2008)[19]

Ischemic stroke

<10.5

Ref.

10.5–12.4

OR = 1.83 (0.54–6.28)

12.5–15.2

1.85 (0.57–5.98)

≥15.3

4.35 (1.12–16.9)

Per 5 µmol/L

OR = 1.49 (1.01–2.18)

Eikelboom et al (2000)[23]

Ischemic stroke

Per 5 µmol/L

OR = 2.7 (1.4–5.1)

Fallon[a] et al (2003)[21]

Ischemic stroke

3.1–10.5

Ref.

10.6–12.6

OR = 1.7 (0.9–3.1)

12.7–15.4

1.9 (1.1–3.2)

15.4–86.2

2.1 (1.1–3.9)

Fallon[b] et al (2003)[21]

Ischemic stroke

3.1–10.5

Ref.

10.6–12.6

OR = 1.2 (0.6–2.4)

12.7–15.4

1.9 (1.0–3.6)

15.4–86.2

2.0 (1.0–4.0)

Per 4.7 µmol/L

OR = 1.4 (1.1–1.7)

Haltmayer et al (2002)[20]

Ischemic stroke

Per 5.0 µmol/L

OR = 1.37 (1.13–1.67)

Hultdin et al (2011)[111]

Ischemic stroke

Ref.

Ref.

Men:10.3

Women: 9.5

OR = 0.99 (0.63–1.54)

Men: 12.6

Women: 11.7

1.08 (0.70, 1.69)

Men: 15.3

Women: 14.3

0.86 (0.54–1.37)

Iso et al (2004)[18]

Ischemic stroke

4.1–7.0

Ref.

7.0–8.7

OR = 1.36 (0.60–3.09)

8.7–11.0

1.45 (0.60–3.49)

11.0–47.3

3.89 (1.60–9.46)

Per 5 µmol/L

OR = 1.52 (1.07–2.14)

Kaplan et al (2008)[112]

First ever ischemic stroke

<6.6

Ref.

OR = 1.15 (0.86–1.52)

1.23 (0.93–1.64)

>10.4

1.26 (0.95–1.68)

Khan et al (2008)[109]

Ischemic stroke

Per 1 µmol/L increase in log Hcy: OR = 4.02 (2.13–7.57)

Liang et al (2017)[114]

Ischemic stroke

Per SD increase in log Hcy: OR = 1.62 (1.17–2.25)

Loffredo et al (2005)[22]

Ischemic stroke

4.6–7.5

Ref.

9.7–14.1

OR = 0.75 (0.31–1.82)

14.3–18.6

1.30 (0.55–3.07)

18.7–67.1

2.73 (1.23–6.08)

Per 1 µmol/L

OR = 1.056 (1.00–1.12)

Petri et al (1996)[117]

Ischemic stroke

Per 1 unit in log Hcy: OR = 2.44 (1.04–5.75)

Rueda-Clausen et al (2012)[113]

Ischemic stroke

≤12.69

Ref.

>12.69

OR = 8.97 (4.07–19.75)

Shi et al (2018)[116]

Ischemic stroke

≤9.65

Ref.

9.65 ≤ 11.9

HR = 0.77 (0.42–1.40)

11.9 ≤ 15.5

1.52 (0.89–2.62)

>15.5

1.76 (1.11–3.08)

Shimizu et al (2002)[106]

Ischemic stroke

<10.4

Ref.

10.4–13.6

OR = 2.0 (0.9–4.4)

≥13.6

4.0 (1.8–8.9)

Tan et al (2002)[108]

First ever ischemic stroke

<9.6

Ref.

9.6–12.0

OR = 0.94

12.1–14.95

3.2

>14.95

4.3 (1.5–12.6)

Per 1 µmol/L increase in log Hcy: OR = 5.17 (1.96–13.63)

Tanne et al (2003)[105]

Ischemic stroke

<11.4

Ref.

11.4–13.2

OR = 1.48 (0.44–5.46)

13.3–17.4

2.11 (0.58–8.75),

>17.4

4.62 (1.32–18.86)

Per 1 µmol/L increase in ln Hcy: OR = 3.41 (1.08–12.30)

Tascilar et al (2009)[107]

Large-vessel atherosclerotic stroke

4.00–9.20

Ref.

9.21–12.40

OR = 0.813 (0.286–2.310)

12.70–15.80

1.285 (0.406–4.067)

15.90–42.80

2.449 (0.660–9.095)

Tascilar et al (2009)[107]

Cardio-embolic stroke

4.00–9.20

Ref.

9.21–12.40

OR = 0.805 (0.191–3.392)

12.70–15.80

1.929 (0.471–7.902)

15.90–42.80

5.745 (1.271–25.959)

Verhoef et al (1994)[9]

Ischemic stroke

≤12.7

Ref.

>12.7

OR = 1.2 (0.7 - 2.0)

Zee et al (2007)[119]

Ischemic stroke

<8.47

Ref.

8.48–9.97

HR = 1.02 (0.63–1.64)

9.98–11.55

1.24 (0.79–1.96)

11.56–14.04

1.01 (0.63–1.62)

>14.05

1.27 (0.80–2.00)

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; Hcy, homocysteine; HR, hazard ratio; OR, odds ratio; Ref., reference value; RR, risk ratio; SD, standard deviation.


Notes: numbers in parentheses after RR/OR/HR are 95% CI unless otherwise specified.


a Results from model A in Fallon et al: 201 matched case-control pairs.


b Results from model C in Fallon et al: 120 cases, 310 controls, unmatched.


Table 3

Cohort studies investigating the association between ischemic stroke and homocysteine levels, n = 4

Study (year)

Study population: n, % male, mean age

Follow-up time

Hcy-results (µmol/L)

Timing of blood sampling[a]

Outcome and diagnostic criteria of ischemic stroke

Adjusted covariates

Bostom et al (1999)[118]

Study population: elderly patients, n = 1947, 40.5%male, mean age = 70 ± 7 years

Follow-up time: mean = 9.9 years

Mean Hcy: 12.65 ± 7.19 µmol/L

Timing: at study inclusion, prior to outcome

Outcome: total stroke, no-hemorrhagic stroke, atherothrombotic brain infarctions

Diagnostic criteria: CT scan

Age, sex, diabetes, cigarette smoking, systolic blood pressure, prior coronary heart disease, prior atrial fibrillation

Shi et al (2018)[116]

Study population: acute stroke patients

Ischemic stroke: n = 2,587, 70.0% male, mean age = 60.7 ± 10.5 years

Follow-up time: median 18 months

Hcy: within 3 days of ischemic stroke: 14.4 ± 10.3 µmol/L

3 months after ischemic stroke: 14.3 ± 10.0 µmol/L

Timing: within 24 hours of outcome, and again three months after

Outcome: recurrence of ischemic stroke, including subclassification

Diagnostic criteria: CT scan. Subtyping using TOAST criteria

Age, sex, smoking status, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, CRP level, apolipoprotein B/Apolipoprotein AI ratio, presence of hypertension, type-2 diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, obesity

Petri et al (1996)[117]

Study population: systemic lupus erythematosus patients

Cases: n = 29, 14%male, mean age = 38.6 ± 15.2 years

Controls: n = 308, 7.1% male, mean age = 34.5 ± 11.3 years

Follow-up time: 1,619 person-years (mean 4.8 ± 1.7 years)

Cases: 10.26 ± 1.91 µmol/L

Controls: 7.41 ± 1.88 µmol/L

Timing: at inclusion, prior to outcome

Outcome: stroke, arterial or venous thrombotic events

Diagnostic criteria of ischemic stroke: CT/MRI scan

Age, sex, race, obesity, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, diabetes, renal insufficiency, lupus anticoagulant

Zee et al (2007)[119]

Study population: healthy white women: n = 24,968

Mean age stratified for MTHFR genotype (CC, CT, TT): CC = 54.7 ± 7.1 years; CT = 54.7 ± 7.1 years; TT = 54.7 ± 7.2 years

Follow-up time: mean follow-up of 9.9 ± 1.3 years, 246, 852 person-years

Hcy: stratified for MTHFR genotype (CC, CT, TT): 11.1 ± 4.3 µmol/L, 11.4 ± 4.9 µmol/L, 12.5 ± 6.1 µmol/L

Timing: at inclusion, prior to outcome

Outcome: ischemic stroke

Diagnostic criteria: medical records, the National Death Index, autopsy reports, death certificates, reports from family

Age, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, diabetes mellitus, hormone use

Abbreviations: CRP, C-reactive protein; CT, computed tomography; CVD, cardiovascular disease; Hcy, homocysteine; HDL, high density lipoprotein; MRI; magnetic resonance imaging; MTHFR, methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase; TOAST, Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment.


Note: Hcy levels are indicated as mean ± standard deviation unless other otherwise specified. Age is indicated as mean ± standard deviation unless other otherwise specified.


a Timing of blood sampling, refers to time of blood sampling used to determinate Hcy concentration in subjects, indicating if blood sampling occurred prior to outcome or after outcome.


Table 4

Rating of individual studies that did not include a dose-response analysis rated fair or poor

Study (year)

Rated fair

Study (year)

Rated poor

Case-control studies

Case-control studies

Bosco et al (2006)[25]

Al-Allawi et al (2009)[71]

Kelly et al (2004)[31]

Alkali et al (2006)[131]

Kim et al (2011)[32]

Araki et al (1989)[72]

Kim et al (2011)[33]

Fekih-Mrissa et al (2013)[80]

Kristensen et al (1999)[34]

Ma et al (2017)[42]

Lee et al (2008)[36]

Sun et al (2005)[95]

Li et al (2018)[38]

Tas et al (2005)[96]

Lu et al (2018)[40]

Yi et al (2013)[101]

Luo et al (2017)[41]

Yingdong et al (2002)[102]

Ma et al (2011)[43]

Cross-sectional studies

Mao and Han (2018)[44]

Adunsky et al (2000)[69]

Meiklejohn et al (2001)[45]

Ben-Salem et al (2010)[73]

Modi et al (2005)[47]

Brattström et al (1992)[74]

Moe et al (2008)[48]

Cao et al (2019) [128]

Mojiminiyi et al (2008)[49]

Celikbilek et al (2014)[75]

Pezzini et al (2002)[52]

Cingozbay et al (2002)[76]

Rahman et al (2013)[54]

Coull et al (1990)[77]

Tantirittisak et al (2007)[55]

El Kossi and Zakhary (2000)[78]

Vayá et al (2011)[57]

Fatima et al (2012)[79]

Yang et al (2004)[62]

Karakurum Goksel et al (2007)[81]

Yang et al (2016)[63]

Han et al (2002)[82]

Zhang et al (2014)[66]

Karabulut et al (2017)[83]

Zhang et al (2019)[67]

Kokocińska et al (2005)[84]

Cohort studies

Li et al (2004)[85]

Press et al (1999)[53]

Liu et al (2005)[86]

Cross-sectional studies

Moghaddasi et al (2010)[87]

Dai et al (2020)[129]

Mykhalojko and Mykhalojko (2017)[88]

Haapaniemi et al (2007)[27]

Narang et al (2009)[89]

Kara et al (2009)[29]

Omrani et al (2011)[90]

Kucukarabaci et al (2008)[35]

Peng et al (2001)[91]

Lehmann et al (2015)[37]

Sawuła et al 2009[92]

Lindgren et al (1995)[39]

Sun et al (2009)[94]

Mejia et al (2011)[46]

Sönmezler et al (2013)[93]

Ustundag et al (2010)[56]

Unal et al (2013)[97]

Wei et al (2019)[130]

Urbańska et al (2006)[98]

Xia et al (2014)[60]

Wei et al (2018)[99]

Yao et al (2017)[64]

Wu et al (2017)[100]

Zhu et al (2013)[68]

Zhang et al (2014)[103]

Zhou et al (2005)[104]

Table 5

Summary of results reported in studies rated fair analyzing dose-response relationship between ischemic stroke and homocysteine

Study (year)

Outcome

Stratum 1 (µmol/L), effect measure (95% CI)

Stratum 2 (µmol/L), effect measure (95% CI)

Stratum 3 (µmol/L), effect measure (95% CI)

Stratum 4 (µmol/L), effect measure (95% CI)

Increments, effect measure (95% CI)

Case-control studies

Atanassova et al (2007)[24]

Ischemic stroke

Per 1 µmol/L

OR = 1.22 (1.03–1.44)

Delport et al (1997)[26]

Ischemic stroke

>10.53

Ref.

<10.53

OR = 3.7 (0.8–16.7)

Hassan et al (2004)[28]

Lacunar infarction

>10.3

Ref.

10.3–13.0

OR = 1.42 (0.70–2.89)

13.1–15.9

2.02 (1.37–2.99)

>15.9

2.06 (1.53–2.78)

Ma (2017)[a] [42]

Ischemic stroke

4.29–10.7

Additive model: OR = 0.43 (0.25–0.75)

Ressicive model: OR = 0.09 (0.01–0.79)

Dominant model: OR = 0.43 (0.23–0.82)

10.74–13.71

1.15 (0.69–1.92)

2.61 (0.74–9.18)

0.97 (0.51–1.84)

13.73–53.99

0.69 (0.42–1.14)

0.84 (0.21–3.29)

0.62 (0.35–1.11)

Parnetti et al (2004)[50]

Ischemic stroke

Per 1 µmol/L

OR = 1.425 (1.300–1.562)

Perini et al (2005)[51]

Ischemic stroke

0–10

Ref.

10.1–13.2

OR = 2.1 (p < 0.001)

13.3–18.6

2.8 (p < 0.001)

>18.6

6.74 (3.78–12.02)

Perini et al (2005)[51]

Small artery stroke

0–10

Ref.

10.1–13.2

OR = 3.9 (1.6–8.2)

13.3–18.6

5.9 (2.6–14.4)

>18.6

16.4 (6.9–44.3)

Perini et al (2005)[51]

Large artery stroke

0–10

Ref.

10.1–13.2

OR = 1.5 (0.8–2.6)

13.3–18.6

2.7 (1.4–4.7)

>18.6

4.9 (2.4–9.8)

Perini et al (2005)[51]

Cardioembolic stroke

0–10

Ref.

10.1–13.2

OR = 1.6 (0.7–3.4)

13.3–18.6

3.0 (1.3–6.4)

>18.6

7.1 (3.6–22.1)

Wang et al (2015)[58]

Ischemic stroke

<15

Ref.

≥15

OR = 0.99 (0.64–1.51)

Per 5 µmol/L

OR = 1.15 (1.01–1.28)

Yadav et al (2017)[61]

Ischemic stroke

<12

Ref.

≥12

OR = 0.37 (0.16–0.83)

Yoo et al (1998)[65]

Ischemic stroke

<15.5

Ref.

≥15.5

OR = 1.70 (1.48–1.95)

Cross-sectional studies

Kario et al (2001)[30]

Ischemic stroke

Per 1 SD increase

OR = 2.16 (1.30–3.59)

Wang et al (2014)[59]

Ischemic stroke

<15

Ref.

15–30

OR = 0.80 (0.59–1.074)

>30

OR = 0.91 (0.49–1.67)

Per 5 µmol/L

OR = 0.99 (0.92–1.06)

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; SD, standard deviation.


Note: numbers in parentheses after OR are 95% confidence intervals unless other otherwise specified.


a Ma et al divided participants in regard to their EPHX2 G860A genotype into grouping of the Additive, Ressicive and Dominant genotype model.


Case-Control Studies

Of the 18 case-control articles rated as good, seven studies subclassified ischemic stroke[18] [105] [106] [107] [108] [109]; 1 reported CVD with subanalyses for ischemic stroke[19] and 10 studies performed no subclassification of ischemic stroke.[9] [20] [21] [22] [23] [110] [111] [112] [113] [114]

The timing of blood sampling for measurement of Hcy levels varied among studies. Eight studies performed blood sampling prior to outcome[9] [18] [19] [21] [105] [110] [111] [112]; 10 studies performed blood sampling after outcome,[20] [22] [23] [106] [107] [108] [109] [113] [114] [115] of which four studies collected blood within 7 days of outcome,[23] [108] [113] [114] and 2 studies within 24 hours of outcome.[107] [116]

Studies with Effect Measures Based on Homocysteine Strata

Eleven studies stratified Hcy levels into several strata, estimating the risk of ischemic stroke in the lowest stratum compared with the higher strata ([Table 2]).[18] [19] [21] [22] [23] [105] [106] [107] [108] [111] [112] Nine out of 11 studies found an increased risk of ischemic stroke when comparing patients in the highest versus lowest Hcy level strata.[18] [19] [21] [22] [23] [105] [106] [107] [108] Two studies found no association between risk of ischemic stroke and Hcy level[111] [112] and one study reported an association for cardioembolic stroke, but not with large-vessel atherosclerotic stroke.[107] Two studies estimated effect measures using a dichotomous Hcy; one study found an association,[113] whereas one did not.[9]


#

Studies with Effect Measures Based Homocysteine Increments

Ten studies included Hcy as a continuous variable and presented effect measures based on various increments of Hcy ([Table 2]).[18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [105] [108] [109] [114] All studies found an association between increasing Hcy levels and odds of ischemic stroke, despite variations in the Hcy level increments that were employed.

Six studies included analysis of ischemic stroke subclasses.[23] [105] [106] [107] [108] [109] Among these, four studies showed an association between small-vessel disease and/or large-vessel disease,[23] [106] [108] [109] and three studies demonstrated an association with cardioembolic stroke.[105] [107] [109]

Two studies did not include effect measures illustrating the dose-response association between ischemic stroke and Hcy levels.[110] [115]

Overall, in studies comparing Hcy strata, effect measures were clearly elevated when Hcy level reached 15 µmol/L and above ([Table 2]).


#
#

Cohort Studies

Four cohort studies were rated as good, ([Table 3]).[116] [117] [118] [119] Mean follow-up time ranged from 18 months to 9.9 years. Two studies included patients with CVD, with subanalyses for ischemic stroke.[117] [119] Zee et al did not find an association when comparing quintiles of Hcy levels in the population,[119] whereas Petri et al found increased risk of ischemic stroke with increasing Hcy levels.[117] Bostom et al included elderly patients with stroke and found an association for both nonhemorrhagic stroke and atherothrombotic brain infarction, when comparing the highest quartile of Hcy to the lowest quartile.[118] Shi et al investigated recurrence of ischemic stroke as outcome, with enrolment at admission for first ever stroke. Blood sampling was performed at 3 days and 3 months after enrollment. An association between the risk of recurrent ischemic stroke (within 12–36 months) and Hcy levels was found, when comparing the highest and lowest Hcy quartiles in blood samples performed 3 months after the enrollment.[116]


#

Meta-analysis of Dose-Response Association

Eleven studies included Hcy as a continuous variable of which six were included in the meta-analysis.[18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] We normalized ORs to increments of 5 µmol/L in Hcy.[21] [22] The remaining five studies performed log transformation of Hcy levels prior to statistical analysis and were therefore not included in the meta-analysis ([Table 2]).[106] [108] [109] [114] [117] The studies included in the meta-analysis reported similar results and included similar numbers of patients. All adjusted for age, sex, main CVD risk factors (diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, smoking, and body mass index [BMI]), with an exception of Eikelboom et al that did not adjust for BMI. Eikelboom et al was the only study that adjusted for renal insufficiency ([Tables 1] and [3]).[23] We performed a random effect analysis, resulting in an OR of 1.43 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.28–1.61; I 2 = 0.0%, p = 0.492; [Fig. 2]). A funnel plot for the meta-analysis is provided in [Fig. 3], as the resulting funnel plot was severely asymmetric.

Zoom Image
Fig. 2 Forest plot of risk of ischemic stroke per 5 µmol/L increase in plasma homocysteine. CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.
Zoom Image
Fig. 3 Funnel plot of studies included in meta-analysis investigating the risk of ischemic stroke per 5 µmol/L increase in homocysteine.

Results reported in studies rated fair and further supported the observations reported in studies rated good ([Table 5]).


#
#

Discussion

The present study indicates a dose-response association between Hcy levels and the risk of ischemic stroke. It was apparent that risk estimates reported in studies were notably higher when reaching Hcy levels above 15 µmol/L, indicating a possible nonlinear association between Hcy and ischemic stroke. Both studies rated good and fair supported this observation.

Studies have shown that Hcy levels increase in patients within 1-week poststroke.[27] [39] [45] This could explain some of the differences observed between cases and controls in the case-control studies where blood sampling was performed in cases during hospitalization for stroke.[27] [74] Moreover, Hcy levels have been shown to increase in critically ill patients.[120] In this review, no difference in means was observed when comparing Hcy levels in blood samples obtained during the acute phases[23] [107] [108] [114] [116] and convalescence phases of ischemic stroke[20] [22] [106] [109]; but based on the aforementioned previous studies, timing of blood sampling should be considered when evaluating Hcy as an exposure.

Five studies showed an association between small- and large-vessel diseases when subclassifying stroke using the Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) criteria ([Tables 1] and [3]).[23] [106] [108] [109] [116] This finding indicates that the effect of Hcy could depend on the underlying etiologically of ischemic stroke. Large randomized controlled trails investigating the effect of Hcy-lowering B-vitamin treatment have not demonstrated an effect on vascular outcomes or stroke.[11] [12] [121] Notably, reevaluation of data suggests that the effect of Hcy-lowering treatment could vary between outcomes, with a more beneficial effect on stroke than other CVD outcomes.[14] [122] Subclassifying stroke further could help clarifying which etiologies of stroke are affected by Hcy, and which patients could potentially benefit from Hcy-lowering treatment. As such, the clinical relevance of assessing Hcy in stroke patients or screening for hyperhomocysteinemia to prevent stroke remains undetermined. Taken together with the conflicting results on the effect of Hcy-lowering vitamin treatment, this may also explain why measuring plasma Hcy is not recommended in most clinical guidelines on ischemic stroke.[11] [12] [13] [14]

The most recent review of the literature found a 59% increased risk of stroke when Hcy increased 5 µmol/L.[15] We report a similar increased risk of 43% (95% CI: 1.28–1.61) when standardizing reported ORs and using the same Hcy increments of 5 µmol/L.[18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23]

The studies included in the present review assumed a linear association between Hcy levels and ischemic stroke; however, without describing this further or commenting on the hidden assumption of a linear association. As we observed a clear elevation in risk when surpassing 15 µmol/L, our results question this assumption of a linear association. Additionally, several studies performed a logarithmic transformation of Hcy levels prior to statistical analysis, indicating that they initially observed a nonlinear association with ischemic stroke risk, but without exploring this further.

To assess publication bias, we performed a funnel plot of our meta-analysis ([Fig. 3]). Generally, at least 10 studies with varying sample sizes should be included for the test to have the power to distinguish chance from true asymmetry. Even though only six studies were included in the meta-analysis, we included the funnel plot as it was severely asymmetric. This could indicate publication bias, but it may also result from an overestimation of the effect of Hcy because of small study populations.[123]

Several large randomized controlled trials of Hcy-lowering treatment report mainly no effect on risk of CVD.[12] [13] [14] [124] These studies were excluded in the inclusion process of this review, as Hcy levels were not reported in the studies.


#

Strengths and Limitations

One of the strengths of the present systematic review was the strict requirement of outcome definition required for inclusion. Numerous studies investigating the relationship between Hcy and stroke do not differentiate between hemorrhagic or ischemic stroke in their outcome variable which could lead to a reduction of estimates toward the null.[10] [125] [126] Second, this review only included multivariable adjusted risk estimates.

Some limitations have to be considered as well. First, statistical analyses were not standardized across studies and a meta-analysis of the dose-response relationship was only based on six studies. Second, the strategies for choosing control groups varied between hospital- and community-based controls; this could lead some studies to include a healthier control group compared with others. Third, we were not able to take into account differences in laboratory methods for measuring Hcy levels, and in turn, differences in reference intervals between studies. Forth, Hcy levels are influenced by a vast array of environmental and genetic factors, but most studies only adjusted effect measures for the main known cardiovascular risk factors, age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, cholesterol, smoking status, and BMI. However, six studies adjusted for renal function[23] [106] [109] [113] [115] [117] and additional nutritional factors, such as folate and vitamin B12 levels, were adjusted in six studies.[21] [22] [23] [106] [108] [109] We were not able to further assess the possible differential impact of the etiology of elevated Hcy levels and the association with ischemic stroke. Furthermore, lipid-lowering medication, such as fibrates, commonly prescribed for patients in risk of CVD, might influence the Hcy levels.[127] Any potential influence of lipid-lowering drugs on the association between Hcy and ischemic stroke was not assessed.


#

Conclusion

The present review and meta-analysis indicate that a nonlinear association could exist between Hcy levels and the risk of ischemic stroke. This implies that the risk of ischemic stroke increases when Hcy exceeds a certain level. Identifying this cut-off point would be of strong clinical interest, as it could help distinguish which patients could benefit of Hcy-lowering treatment.


#
#

Conflict of Interest

M.H. has no conflicts of interest. A.M.H. has no conflicts of interest regarding the present paper but has the following general conflicts for interest: has received speaker's fees from CSL Behring, Bayer, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, and Astellas, and unrestricted research support from Octapharma and CSL Behring.

J.F.H.A. has no conflicts of interest regarding the present paper but has the following conflicts of interest outside the present work: received a speaker's fee within the last 36 months from Siemens Healthineers, Denmark, and a speaker's fee within the last 36 months from Teva Denmark A/S.

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Address for correspondence

Anne-Mette Hvas, PhD
Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Aarhus University Hospital and Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University
Palle Juul-Jensens Boulevard 99, Aarhus North, DK-8200
Denmark   

Publication History

Received: 07 May 2021

Accepted: 19 July 2021

Article published online:
24 September 2021

© 2021. The Author(s). This is an open access article published by Thieme under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, permitting unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction so long as the original work is properly cited. (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)

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Fig. 1 Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRIMSA) flow diagram.[16]
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Fig. 2 Forest plot of risk of ischemic stroke per 5 µmol/L increase in plasma homocysteine. CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.
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Fig. 3 Funnel plot of studies included in meta-analysis investigating the risk of ischemic stroke per 5 µmol/L increase in homocysteine.