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Methods Inf Med 1974; 13(04): 238-241
DOI: 10.1055/s-0038-1636158
Original Article
Schattauer GmbH

Decision Theory and Surgical Risk

Entscheidungstheorie und Operationsrisiko
A. D. Cattaneo
1   From the Institute of Anaesthesiology and Resuscitation, University of Genoa Medical School, Genoa, Italy
,
P. E. Lucchelli
1   From the Institute of Anaesthesiology and Resuscitation, University of Genoa Medical School, Genoa, Italy
,
E. Rocca
1   From the Institute of Anaesthesiology and Resuscitation, University of Genoa Medical School, Genoa, Italy
› Author Affiliations
Further Information

Publication History

Publication Date:
10 February 2018 (online)

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Reliability on the automatic prediction of the outcome in arterial reconstructive surgery was evaluated with the aid of a computer program based on decision theory. Twenty items of information were collected from 92 patients and used as predictors. Accuracy of the computerized allocation was checked by simple reclassification. Two risk functions, derived from two different loss matrices, were used to minimize the error probabilities.

Die Zuverlässigkeit der automatischen Voraussage von Ergebnissen der rekonstruktiven ArterienChirurgie wurde mittels eines auf der Entscheidungstheorie beruhenden Computer-Programms geprüft. Von 92 Patienten wurden zwanzig Merkmale gewonnen und als Voraussagekriterien betrachtet. Die Exaktheit der automatischen Zuteilung wurde durch eine einfache Reklassifizierung kontrolliert. Zwei von verschiedenen Verlust-Matrizen abgeleitete Risikofunktionen wurden zur Minimierung der Fehlerwahrscheinlichkeit benützt.

Key-Words

Decision Theory - Surgical Risk - Arteriosclerosis

Schlüssel-Wörter

Entscheidungstheorie - Operationsrisiko - Arteriosklerose
 

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