Am J Perinatol 2021; 38(S 01): e46-e56
DOI: 10.1055/s-0040-1705114
Original Article

Customized versus Population Growth Standards for Morbidity and Mortality Risk Stratification Using Ultrasonographic Fetal Growth Assessment at 22 to 29 Weeks' Gestation

1  Division of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
,
William A. Grobman
2  Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois
,
Jacob C. Larkin
3  Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, Magee-Womens Hospital of University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
,
Christina M. Scifres
4  Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana
,
Hyagriv N. Simhan
3  Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, Magee-Womens Hospital of University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
,
Judith H. Chung
5  Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of California, Irvine, Orange, California
,
George R. Saade
6  Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, Texas
,
David M. Haas
4  Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana
,
Ronald Wapner
7  Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York
,
Uma M. Reddy
8  Division of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
,
Brian Mercer
9  Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, MetroHealth Medical Center, Cleveland, Ohio
,
Samuel I. Parry
10  Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
,
Robert M. Silver
1  Division of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
› Author Affiliations
Funding The study is supported by grant funding from U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, National Institutes of Health, and Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (1K12 HD085816, U10 HD063020, U10 HD063037, U10 HD063041, U10 HD063046, U10 HD063047, U10 HD063048, U10 HD063053, and U10 HD063072).

Abstract

Objective The aim of study is to compare the performance of ultrasonographic customized and population fetal growth standards for prediction adverse perinatal outcomes.

Study Design This was a secondary analysis of the Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-Be, in which l data were collected at visits throughout pregnancy and after delivery. Percentiles were assigned to estimated fetal weights (EFWs) measured at 22 to 29 weeks using the Hadlock population standard and a customized standard (www.gestation.net). Areas under the curve were compared for the prediction of composite and severe composite perinatal morbidity using EFW percentile.

Results Among 8,701 eligible study participants, the population standard diagnosed more fetuses with fetal growth restriction (FGR) than the customized standard (5.5 vs. 3.5%, p < 0.001). Neither standard performed better than chance to predict composite perinatal morbidity. Although the customized performed better than the population standard to predict severe perinatal morbidity (areas under the curve: 0.56 vs. 0.54, p = 0.003), both were poor. Fetuses considered FGR by the population standard but normal by the customized standard had morbidity rates similar to fetuses considered normally grown by both standards.

The population standard diagnosed FGR among black women and Hispanic women at nearly double the rate it did among white women (p < 0.001 for both comparisons), even though morbidity was not different across racial/ethnic groups. The customized standard diagnosed FGR at similar rates across groups. Using the population standard, 77% of FGR cases were diagnosed among female fetuses even though morbidity among females was lower (p < 0.001). The customized model diagnosed FGR at similar rates in male and female fetuses.

Conclusion At 22 to 29 weeks' gestation, EFW percentile alone poorly predicts perinatal morbidity whether using customized or population fetal growth standards. The population standard diagnoses FGR at increased rates in subgroups not at increased risk of morbidity and at lower rates in subgroups at increased risk of morbidity, whereas the customized standard does not.



Publication History

Received: 02 October 2019

Accepted: 27 January 2020

Publication Date:
20 March 2020 (online)

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